Thursday, September 1, 2011

Upcoming Warmth

During the past few weeks we have had really decent weather--generally dry, with periods of above and below normal temperatures.

Such variability, centered around climatological temperatures, is what normal is all about.
There has been enough sun and warmth for a miracle to happen---I actually have red, ripe tomatoes!  Few pleasures in life are greater.  Here is the proof:



Well, another miracle is occurring...we are going into a warm up period through the weekend and then the heat really revs up on Tuesday and Wednesday as a monster ridge builds up over the western U.S.  And it just stays in place forever.

Right now a weak trough is moving through, bringing increased cloudiness over the region.  Tomorrow (Friday) we should wake up to clouds, but they should break up during the afternoon...low to mid 70s.   But on Saturday ridging aloft develops (see upper level chart) and the temps warm with more sun.  Perhaps a bit warmer on Sunday.
But early in the week ridging really develops (graphic) and temperatures could hit the mid 80s.
And do you see that features in the lower right...another hurricane.  The NWS GFS model has this storm approaching the East Coast late Friday (see forecast for Friday AM below) but the forecast will surely change.  The latest solution gets the hurricane/tropical storm close before it swings to the NE off of New England.


The NWS Climate Prediction Center is suggesting increased probabilities for above normal temperatures through next week. (see graphic).

No fried green tomatoes for me!

Just a reminder...will be starting my KPLU weather segment tomorrow (Friday) at 9 AM...right after birdnote.




11 comments:

lhsouthern said...

the hurricane center has katia curving toward florida, almost taking the same path as katrina? Also how long is this warm spell? I can remember when I was in high school september was warm.

Unknown said...

I've always loved the NW weather in September. And even sweeter this year as the summer has felt like a series of one night stands. Each sunny day a treat, but all the more disappointing when the clouds and damp chill return by morning.

richard583 said...

Ripe enough for "to market" maybe Cliff. But for main "vine-ripe" tomatoes, you should have left those "beauties" on the vine for a few more days, at least.
— Mark this idea perhaps, for trial. Main harvest, for any, either whether fruiting vegetables - tomatoes, as well as summer squash, eggplant, for a few other examples (.. peppers.), or either, main fruits - all., is between 1st quarter, and full moon. For reference sake, at this point - more specific, it's only a few days past new moon. http://www.jgiesen.de/SME/

weatherlover said...

This weather sounds excellent and I hope it means that the tomatoes that are staying stubbornly green on the vines will begin to change color.

Hopefully this warm spell also means that we will hit 80 degrees up north around Mt. Vernon. Our high for the summer has still only been 78. Usually my weather station records 5-8 days of 80 degrees and it would make me happy if we recorded one this year.

Michael810 said...

Professor Mass, enjoyed your segment on KPLU a minute ago. Reminded me of the talk you gave at City Hall earlier this year. I'll be following Katia this weekend...

bud said...

Fitting that your first forecast discussion on KPLU was sunny and warm. Well done.
It also would be fitting if the blog readers mentioned Cliff on their upcoming donations to KPLU.

julie said...

As one who wrote to KPLU to snap you up right away (and sure I'm not only KPLU listener who did so), I am delighted you will be back on the air. Placed after bird note seems just right. Enjoy.....and so will we.

JayDee523 said...

Cliff:

Check out the MODIS and see if the smoke plume from the Olympics is visible. It looks like it is in the Duckabush River valley and the smoke is rising and blowing directly west, it would seem.

hotweather said...

Liking this warm, sunny weather. Picked our tomatoes today!

fpm said...

OT, maybe,... but which tomato variety is that? Our tomatoes (other than the sungold) are struggling, almost no ripe ones yet. Yours look beautiful!

sequimteeth said...

Last night while riding on the ferry from Edmonds to Kingston at sunset, the smoke from the Brinnon Fire was very evident. What would be the scientific explanation about why the smoke does not continue to rise, but seems to reach a ceiling and then move in the direction of the prevailing wind? Probably most 5th graders know the answer, but I don't.