tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post154424421137968738..comments2024-03-28T23:07:35.632-07:00Comments on Cliff Mass Weather Blog: A Record-Breaking Atmospheric River Hits California and Strong Marine Cyclone Offshore of WashingtonCliff Mass Weather Bloghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13948649423540350788noreply@blogger.comBlogger19125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-61360460413379404772018-04-11T12:55:13.021-07:002018-04-11T12:55:13.021-07:00Looking like a third time in a row for a bust on a...Looking like a third time in a row for a bust on a wind advisory for Bellingham. The advisory expires today at 3pm. So far, a single gust of 35 mph at around 11am with sustained winds mostly in the teens and low 20's. Advisory stated:<br /><br />"WIND...Southerly winds will increase to 20 to 35 mph with gusts<br /> as high as 50 mph this afternoon."<br /><br />All the usual warnings about trees limbs and power outages. Again, all of this seems way off the mark. Maybe things will increase before 3pm, but the numbers show everything decreasing at this point.MAC in Bellinghamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00951163853106956325noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-91930067202385541142018-04-10T19:03:50.217-07:002018-04-10T19:03:50.217-07:00It's really not accurate to call Oroville dam ...It's really not accurate to call Oroville dam heavily damaged at this point (and even last year I'd quibble about degree of damage to the spillway versus the dam as whole). The roller compacted concrete exposed on large portions of the spillway for the repairs is not suited for long term erosion resistance, but the main concern at this point seems to be minimizing the additional repairs necessary next summer to the RCC before it is finished up with a smooth, hard layer of structural concrete.<br /><br />Between that and the huge amount of storage capacity they're preserving in the reservoir specifically for big storms like this, there's not much reason to worry about Oroville this year.<br /><br />So far, the reservoir doesn't seem to have come within 30 feet of their planned elevation for using the spillway, and that level is itself a long ways below the full reservoir capacity.iamlucky13https://www.blogger.com/profile/11983645412851735508noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-27114095411071182812018-04-10T14:50:29.723-07:002018-04-10T14:50:29.723-07:00Not sure what the wise crack about the weather cha...Not sure what the wise crack about the weather channel is supposed to mean. I can read and what I read is not very predictive. By the way, today's wind advisory ending at 3 pm did not materialize at all. Almost no wind by noon. One gust of 36 mph at 11 am at the airport. So, the wind advisory was a flop and another big miss by the NWS.MAC in Bellinghamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00951163853106956325noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-49219035420689076482018-04-10T11:05:24.964-07:002018-04-10T11:05:24.964-07:00NWS forecasts may seem inscrutable at times to the...NWS forecasts may seem inscrutable at times to the layperson. Perhaps you should stick with the weather channel...<br />Friendhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16113544345441368032noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-49263103236198543972018-04-10T08:07:16.864-07:002018-04-10T08:07:16.864-07:00I see again this morning inconsistencies in the NW...I see again this morning inconsistencies in the NWS forecast for Whatcom County. The forecast page states:<br /><br />"Breezy, with a light south southeast wind becoming south 21 to 26 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 38 mph."<br /><br />However, on the same page there is a link to a wind advisory for the area that states:<br /><br />"WIND...South to southeast 20 to 35 mph with gusts 45 to 50 mph."<br /><br />I see these inconsistencies and conflicts all the time from the NWS. It is like no one is really reading what they are posting. These are major differences in the forecast. I will say that since moving to Bellingham from Seattle, I have gotten used to gusts in the mid-50's at the airport, so I don't get as concerned as I used. But, I think the NWS could do a much better job in terms of what it posts.MAC in Bellinghamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00951163853106956325noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-37796299990697615472018-04-09T20:48:28.078-07:002018-04-09T20:48:28.078-07:00The highest wind at the Bellingham Airport was a s...The highest wind at the Bellingham Airport was a single gust of 43 mph, but overall this was very tame and really not much of an event an all. A single gust barely over 40 mph with moderate sustained wind and everything else well below 40 mph is not much at all, particularly for this exposed location. This certainly was not any kind of record breaking event, either for wind or precip. This turned out not to be something to get worked up about. I think many of the comments here reflect that Cliff was well off the mark, regardless of what the NWS said.MAC in Bellinghamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00951163853106956325noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-76838784544029873322018-04-09T18:59:50.090-07:002018-04-09T18:59:50.090-07:00Unknown,
The Wind Advisory for Western Whatcom Co...Unknown,<br /><br />The Wind Advisory for Western Whatcom County called for gusts up to 45 mph so the figure from the airport was just about spot on. In fact, "they" clearly had a very good idea of what was, and did, occur. "They" have the most difficulty pinpointing precisely when and where weather impacts will occur but "they" most certainly have a pretty good idea what will occur most of the time and when "they" don't "they" make it clear that "they" don't because, assuming "they" is the NWS, they're a public service organization and it's in their mandate to do so.Friendhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16113544345441368032noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-5456351250715876972018-04-09T13:04:32.897-07:002018-04-09T13:04:32.897-07:00Can someone please explain what happened to the Re...Can someone please explain what happened to the Record-Breaking Storm of All-Time? Thanks. Placeholderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02967627809480888708noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-35985241807040532632018-04-08T21:26:39.966-07:002018-04-08T21:26:39.966-07:00Odd thing is, here in Medford (SW OR), we've g...Odd thing is, here in Medford (SW OR), we've got almost nothing out of the whole storm. markuhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03290800114730971035noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-88340863679694938462018-04-08T18:02:22.328-07:002018-04-08T18:02:22.328-07:00Following this fizzle non-event here in Bellingham...Following this fizzle non-event here in Bellingham, I see the NWS is taking to posting a nearly worthless "Special Statement" non-forecast. I think comments like the following have little value:<br /><br />"April can be wet and blustery. If you`re planning on outdoor activities, be prepared with rain gear. Mariners can expect frequent changes in the wind as springtime can be blustery at times in Western Washington."<br /><br />https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=WAZ558&warncounty=WAC033&firewxzone=WAZ654&local_place1=Seattle-Tacoma+International+Airport+WA&product1=Special+Weather+Statement<br /><br />It appears to me like they really have very little idea of what is going to occur.<br /><br />MAC in Bellinghamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00951163853106956325noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-45650543762115767582018-04-08T12:37:25.736-07:002018-04-08T12:37:25.736-07:00Looking at flights to and from SeaTac yesterday mo...Looking at flights to and from SeaTac yesterday morning (Satuday), I saw that the 7 a.m. flight to San Luis Obispo landed instead at the Fresno airport and the return flight from San Luis Obispo was cancelled. I then checked and flights by other airlines to San Luis Obispo ran two to three hours late in the morning.Elstonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05638007460533897013noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-9301019584780007672018-04-08T12:06:00.835-07:002018-04-08T12:06:00.835-07:00Just another overhyped storm here in Portland. Ma...Just another overhyped storm here in Portland. Maximum wind not much more than 35 mph and not a deluge of rain (only about an inch and a quarter.)). Can’t tell you how many times these things have not lived up to the dire forecasts. Why not just say there is potential for a major storm rather than getting all breathless about it?Anonymous lionhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00457773729974219260noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-55376737455005507982018-04-08T01:11:42.658-07:002018-04-08T01:11:42.658-07:00Showers early Saturday morning in north Whatcom Co...Showers early Saturday morning in north Whatcom County, and dry throughout the rest of the day. Some wind, but nothing noteworthy. No weather event in this region.Colleenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16635233372638773800noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-80845898607851150672018-04-07T21:16:29.817-07:002018-04-07T21:16:29.817-07:00It's interesting to watch the widespread effec...It's interesting to watch the widespread effects of these rivers. I often look at the webcams on the top of Mauna Kea on the Big Island, and it seems like these rivers often coincide with snow on Mauna Kea - happened today: http://www.cfht.hawaii.edu/en/gallery/webcams.phpfloydrhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16689030245410726999noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-12008485533586714572018-04-07T20:37:46.363-07:002018-04-07T20:37:46.363-07:00Live from Whiskey Ceek Beach, WA.... 15 miles of P...Live from Whiskey Ceek Beach, WA.... 15 miles of Port Angles.<br />Dead calm all day Saturday with steady rain.<br />Rarely is the Strait this calm.... 2 foot waves working their way in from the ocean.<br />We must be full in the lee of the Olympics...<br />Skier JaySkier Jayhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00170512016305879673noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-43314405447815373512018-04-07T20:13:18.377-07:002018-04-07T20:13:18.377-07:00Probably should have used the Blended Total Precip...Probably should have used the Blended Total Precipitable Water loop at:http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/bTPW/TPW_Animation.html?fromDate=20180404&fromHour=0&endDate=20180407&endHour=6&product=EAST_PACIFIC_TPW&interval=3hours GOES water vapor channel is fine for identifying moisture centered at 700-300 hPa, while microwave showing total pecipitable water moisture on loop would give better representation of the low level moisture.Sheldon Kusselsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11353277003095518532noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-81915924068373836502018-04-07T19:40:00.333-07:002018-04-07T19:40:00.333-07:00Here in Bellingham, it all seems to have kind of f...Here in Bellingham, it all seems to have kind of fizzled. Very little precipitation and not much wind. Wind at the airport, which tends to be higher due to its exposure, was only 43 mph around noon, which is not unusual at all. It's about 7:30 pm and the wind advisory continues until midnight, but I would be very surprised if it picked up as it has been declining since noon.MAC in Bellinghamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00951163853106956325noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-41603671770669615062018-04-07T11:06:49.140-07:002018-04-07T11:06:49.140-07:00This comment has been removed by the author.Mr Federalehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09660122983424708562noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-50641315538127839642018-04-07T10:21:45.771-07:002018-04-07T10:21:45.771-07:00Cliff: am I misunderstanding the predictions, or A...Cliff: am I misunderstanding the predictions, or Are we expecting a series of relatively deep low-pressure systems rolling out of the gulf of Alaska over the next ten days to two weeks?Mr Federalehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09660122983424708562noreply@blogger.com