tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post3420951364113820122..comments2024-03-28T23:07:35.632-07:00Comments on Cliff Mass Weather Blog: El Nino is Dead and La Nina Has BegunCliff Mass Weather Bloghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13948649423540350788noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-88171564576991082732016-06-13T18:19:08.363-07:002016-06-13T18:19:08.363-07:00Dear Foo, I don't know how much condolence thi...Dear Foo, I don't know how much condolence this will offer, but I had made the exact same observation (and, am relieved to see that I was not imagining it either). I had also seen the numerous radar echoes signaling abundant precip aroubd the Puget Sound, and was equally puzzled at their seemingly-selective avoidance of this metro area. Of course, it could all be pure coincidence that Seattle repeatedly missed out on these multiple, golden (and, in this season, rare) opportunities for a much-needed soaking, however the laws of probabity do not support the idea of repeated, pure coincidence in this particular instance (as you correctly pointed out, the inexplicable demise of each rain shower cannot be attributed to "rainshadow" or other natueal phenomena). I don't like seeing the grass, nor the leaves at the tops of trees turning so brown this prematurely (as I would assume neither do you). I would be surprised if any meteorologist, including our very competent friend Cliff, would be capable of explaining this "kriptonite" effect that you so adroitly pointed out, although I would be most eager to hear any theories. This dryness has been ongoing since Easter Monday - the inexplicable, overnight 180-degree switch from 5 months of much-above-average precip to (so far) 3 of much-below (even during these current marine pushes which normally favor precipitation). Question mark indeed!tracksdc89https://www.blogger.com/profile/13859004679371356481noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-4640875985469698632016-06-12T09:35:56.780-07:002016-06-12T09:35:56.780-07:00oohhh but i planted tomatoes!oohhh but i planted tomatoes!Mimihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16062266088887216663noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-21348877406075846982016-06-11T12:01:33.357-07:002016-06-11T12:01:33.357-07:00Cliff,
I've been a fan of your blog since seei...Cliff,<br />I've been a fan of your blog since seeing you give a presentation on the winds of Puget Sound and I too would appreciate your take on what may be expected during the R2AK.<br />Also a big fan of your work Mr. Woods. Good luck to you...<br /><br />Darren7/10https://www.blogger.com/profile/00059920971370210290noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-11260391416004824982016-06-10T18:27:28.052-07:002016-06-10T18:27:28.052-07:00Hi cliff - went to download Connors app but it'...Hi cliff - went to download Connors app but it's not compatible on my phone (Google Nexus 5x) bummer. Just so people know, a quick note in your post about what phones it's compatible with would be niceIMhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02223411723027435624noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-88791922520320848622016-06-10T18:11:30.488-07:002016-06-10T18:11:30.488-07:00A bit of a tangent, but I am perplexed at how the ...A bit of a tangent, but I am perplexed at how the central Sound, and the Seattle area in particular, seems to be kryptonite for the kind of rain squalls moving over the area today. I have watched very heavy shower plaster the Kitsap, Bainbridge, and the Eastside. In between, I saw at least a half dozen waves of heavy shower get as far as a line from White Center to Renton - and then completely dissipate in the space of 10 or 15 minutes. <br /><br />This isn't rain shadowing - the flow is from the south-southwest. It also isn't due to any other orographics - a series of heavy showers passed less than 10 miles west of Seattle, some over the open Sound or the east shore of Lake Washington well below the Olympic foothills or Renton Highlands.<br /><br />Maybe this is just a matter of selective perception, but I could swear this happens consistently with weather systems. I don't know why, but it annoys the heck out of me, and I would love to know why it happens. Or maybe I should just move to Tacoma and get all of the weather before it meets its doom over Beacon Hill :-)Foohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03929520923930532337noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-90462610530628460692016-06-10T14:08:44.794-07:002016-06-10T14:08:44.794-07:00I am an avid reader of your blog as I find meteoro...I am an avid reader of your blog as I find meteorology fascinating<br /><br />I am a keen sailor and will be racing in the R2Ak from Port Townsend to Ketchikan starting June 23rd. See here https://r2ak.com/about/ Last year the race started earlier and there were strong NW winds in both the St of Georgia and Johnstone St. <br /><br />Am I correct in thinking that this years La Nina will mean on average lower, less stable, high pressure sytems? Which in turn would mean weaker NW winds, especially in Johnstone St and maybe more southerlies further north. <br /><br />Any guidance you can give on probabilities would be really welcomed so we can get a feel for what might happen<br /><br />Thank you very much!Richard of Woods Designshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13430921873767138249noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-35077534190800664962016-06-09T19:30:25.825-07:002016-06-09T19:30:25.825-07:00Is The La Niña effect similar to El Niño in that. ...Is The La Niña effect similar to El Niño in that. It doesn't start to affect us until January?Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07375816900362250191noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-45094980836814017042016-06-09T18:49:08.964-07:002016-06-09T18:49:08.964-07:00Dr. Mass, I've heard you and others say that ...Dr. Mass, I've heard you and others say that the El Nino/La Nina signal really manifests itself in the winter as slightly warmer and drier or slightly colder and wetter respectively and that no summer pattern could be statistically detected in the PNW. Yet here you say that we should expect a different summer because of the switch from El Nino to La Nina. Is there in fact a statistically detectable summer signal associated with ENSO? <br />Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11455128157120463239noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-41775391990805700422016-06-09T17:43:02.824-07:002016-06-09T17:43:02.824-07:00Thanks, Cliff.
I must say, great forecasts this y...Thanks, Cliff. <br />I must say, great forecasts this year. You experts have nailed it.<br /><br />I am very happy that June has become more normal, lately. 60 degrees plus is acceptable in a Seattle area vegetable/fruit garden, in June. It is not like we are growing cotton here. Or grapefruit or oranges...<br /><br />The cool weather crops that we plant early cannot tolerate 85+ degree weather, day after day, in June. The evaporation, that you have mentioned, is a hindrance to lettuce, beets, kale, and broccoli.<br /><br />60+ degrees seems to be the threshold for a nice vegetable garden in the Seattle area, in June. Much cooler, and the tomatoes and corn don't do well. We always have July, August, and early September, for the ripening.<br /><br />Anyway....great forecasting, Cliff...you guys and gals have nailed the weather the last few months... <br /><br />Thanks,<br />Rod<br /><br />Rodhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07778022817763136336noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-33912995469878700472016-06-09T15:36:28.581-07:002016-06-09T15:36:28.581-07:00With the warm blob dead, El Nino dead, and NOAA pr...With the warm blob dead, El Nino dead, and NOAA predicting a 75% chance of La Nina this fall/winter, us cooler and stormy weather fans hopefully have something to look forward to :)Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14963697592838804988noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-3631959496702198922016-06-09T13:36:07.172-07:002016-06-09T13:36:07.172-07:00What CAN we expect for summer in the Pacific North...What CAN we expect for summer in the Pacific Northwest then?Geoff in Bellevuehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03574654264359041257noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-78471287728288535262016-06-09T02:39:23.799-07:002016-06-09T02:39:23.799-07:00A little early to play the La Nina card since the ...A little early to play the La Nina card since the value for Nino 3.4 is not quite at or below 0.5 yet, in addition to the maintained requisite time period, but you are certainly making the safest possible bet based on all available information to appear like the dandy prognosticator 'guru' the computer models have helped you become.Qwertyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00429690391444840673noreply@blogger.com