tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post6480165052219523348..comments2024-03-18T22:50:29.792-07:00Comments on Cliff Mass Weather Blog: An Unusually Dry FallCliff Mass Weather Bloghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13948649423540350788noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-49953381510048986642013-12-13T12:50:17.289-08:002013-12-13T12:50:17.289-08:00Unknown, this paper by JA Screen delves into compo...Unknown, this paper by JA Screen delves into components a little bit:<br /><br />http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/4/044015/pdf/1748-9326_8_4_044015.pdfdbostromhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13885863615343906724noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-8283229769259509822013-12-12T22:33:26.429-08:002013-12-12T22:33:26.429-08:00I can't help wondering if the focus on sea ice...I can't help wondering if the focus on sea ice loss is a bit misplaced...it's the incredible anomalous warming of the whole arctic region which COULD be affecting the jet stream. The sea ice loss is just one component contributing to this.Douglashttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13400304542602805292noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-53728399187522597102013-12-12T22:22:01.403-08:002013-12-12T22:22:01.403-08:00Yet several other papers have added weight to the ...Yet several other papers have added weight to the Francis/Vavrus conjecture, or variations of it. This is far from settled. Douglashttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13400304542602805292noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-41049517993285022772013-12-12T20:15:47.213-08:002013-12-12T20:15:47.213-08:00Glenn,
As noted by the Barnes paper I have no...Glenn,<br /> As noted by the Barnes paper I have noted, the Francis and Vavrus paper has very serious methodological deficiencies. Really no evidence for their hypothesis..cliffCliff Mass Weather Bloghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13948649423540350788noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-42857237265174469082013-12-12T19:22:11.753-08:002013-12-12T19:22:11.753-08:00Discussion of a couple more papers pertinent to Gl...Discussion of a couple more papers pertinent to Glenn's question here:<br /><br />http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/12/melting-arctic-sea-ice-could-be-altering-jet-stream/<br /><br />Authors and findings seem to be slowly piling up. Maybe there's some coalescence around the notion? dbostromhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13885863615343906724noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-2774581388031865802013-12-12T15:44:43.925-08:002013-12-12T15:44:43.925-08:00I know you've rejected Francis and Vavrus'...I know you've rejected Francis and Vavrus' paper on slowing Rossby waves. But it certainly seems to fit in well with the prolonged cycles of unchanging weather we've had here in the last few years; ie long dry spells, long wet spells, long warm spells, long cold spells. IIRC, you said they were looking at the wrong altitude. _But_ their hypothesis seems to fit observed phenomona; what would it take to advance it to a theory?Glennhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16509609643029842132noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-6625671334389626232013-12-12T09:13:36.512-08:002013-12-12T09:13:36.512-08:00Can we look back into past seasons where there has...Can we look back into past seasons where there has been a similar anomaly to try and determine what the weather "may" be like for winter? IE does this type of fall ridge correlate to a stormier, snowier winter, or a continuation of dry benign weather? Eric Mosshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14013819643903175816noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-20785428583602198232013-12-11T19:39:35.517-08:002013-12-11T19:39:35.517-08:00Has the area of high pressure in the gulf of Alask...Has the area of high pressure in the gulf of Alaska lifted? Or is it still there?Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05621142402266326026noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-7653655951004197712013-12-11T19:35:55.974-08:002013-12-11T19:35:55.974-08:00PDO? That W ridge seems to hang around annually du...PDO? That W ridge seems to hang around annually during the winter.Hinduhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08116796891563952356noreply@blogger.com