tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post7205580235345246667..comments2024-03-18T17:39:59.285-07:00Comments on Cliff Mass Weather Blog: Forecast Error?Cliff Mass Weather Bloghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13948649423540350788noreply@blogger.comBlogger21125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-89648053749027398962009-09-12T10:16:18.839-07:002009-09-12T10:16:18.839-07:00Hmmmm,
Did Cancel my hike in the Cascades, but wen...Hmmmm,<br />Did Cancel my hike in the Cascades, but went Camping on Whidbey. The weather turned out better than predicted and we had a wonderful time. <br />Here is the link to the only Rain that I saw on Saturday:<br /><br />http://picasaweb.google.com/lh/photo/pzBbro7TpP_DIfI4Jz3sbA?authkey=Gv1sRgCOup89jjk_jngAE&feat=directlinkTomEhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08055685980379112794noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-18067418153061234762009-09-07T18:08:11.985-07:002009-09-07T18:08:11.985-07:00waiting for weather is my life to start popping of...waiting for weather is my life to start popping off...Robbyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12684135134501301864noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-33682156336238371422009-09-07T15:30:48.653-07:002009-09-07T15:30:48.653-07:00nwcn reports that enumclaw got the tornado,nwcn reports that enumclaw got the tornado,Diary of a cat householdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03740567152994415008noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-12553991910249502732009-09-07T13:40:06.260-07:002009-09-07T13:40:06.260-07:00Bellingham precipitation, .64 inches in the last 7...Bellingham precipitation, .64 inches in the last 72 hours. Definitely a false alarm. Seattle gets all the thunder. :(Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-66900747560399330192009-09-07T10:14:42.163-07:002009-09-07T10:14:42.163-07:00The Community Collaborative for Rain, Snow, & ...The Community Collaborative for Rain, Snow, & Hail at CO SU produces maps and tables of precip daily.<br /><br />There are already 180+ reports for WA up to 10AM. You can view the state and county rain reports at: <br /><br />http://www.cocorahs.org/Maps/ViewMap.aspx<br /><br />You can see on the WA map that there was a heavy precip band from Thurston Cty into SW King. The timing was different though as the 1.55" near Lakeland in King reported the heaviest shower at 06:30PM. Some areas of Thurston County had their heaviest shower around 10:30AM. Oly AP got 0.35" between 10 & 11 AM.Gary in Olympiahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00351698678637350106noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-19398033275500689062009-09-07T07:56:36.643-07:002009-09-07T07:56:36.643-07:001.54 inches of rain at Olympia airport, Sunday. N...1.54 inches of rain at Olympia airport, Sunday. New record.mainstreeterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06311958194036737432noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-37095187803986696872009-09-06T23:13:47.596-07:002009-09-06T23:13:47.596-07:00I appreciate Cliff's openness regarding the is...I appreciate Cliff's openness regarding the issues of error and timing. The fact is that predicting this stuff is always going to involve some potential for error and you just have to roll with the punches and be willing to make quick adjustments when the forecasts don't work out.C.P.O.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16880429004171251097noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-40504497981802698542009-09-06T20:27:46.244-07:002009-09-06T20:27:46.244-07:00Forecast error?
Well, I guess it depends on one&#...Forecast error?<br /><br />Well, I guess it depends on one's definitions of "forecast" and "error".John Franklinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16424249779395129712noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-60344227761402069482009-09-06T20:03:09.716-07:002009-09-06T20:03:09.716-07:00Scared off by the forecast. Wish I took my sailboa...Scared off by the forecast. Wish I took my sailboat out yesterday!Tomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00177443374751333878noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-29151761129335163662009-09-06T18:32:43.433-07:002009-09-06T18:32:43.433-07:00Man I really hate the rain shadow. I can see it i...Man I really hate the rain shadow. I can see it in action: out of the west side of my house, sunshine. Out the east side, darkness, thunder, lightning, and heavy rain.athoshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00014068100840350220noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-89176095991682520442009-09-06T15:40:02.742-07:002009-09-06T15:40:02.742-07:00Still no rain or storms in Bellingham. I wish I...Still no rain or storms in Bellingham. I wish I'd planned more outdoor activity because there's been quite a bit of sun between yesterday and today and the moon was quite exposed last night. The wind has done a job on the trees though and the driveway is littered with ripe plums. Canning season is here!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-47112416134736206612009-09-06T15:07:34.283-07:002009-09-06T15:07:34.283-07:00it has been pouring here in chehalis off and on al...it has been pouring here in chehalis off and on all day. this am though its was an absolute downpour and i heard one rumbel of thunder.Diary of a cat householdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03740567152994415008noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-29590360379664953952009-09-06T13:03:49.469-07:002009-09-06T13:03:49.469-07:00Amazing downpours in Copalis Beach this early Sund...Amazing downpours in Copalis Beach this early Sunday afternoon. Quite a ferocity of rain and wind for early September. Periods of thunder and lightning overnight and into today. It seems to me the models you posted on Sept 3rd, at least for this part of the coast were accurate.SeaGaryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01579956479850995006noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-57688122891602304722009-09-06T11:25:32.511-07:002009-09-06T11:25:32.511-07:00Seems like an error. Saturday the forecast was Rai...Seems like an error. Saturday the forecast was Rain but for the most part it was nice day. And today it is supposed to be Showers but we are getting dumped on in a driving continuous downpour.Fleetwoodhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02307265277969303479noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-78154153967042411312009-09-06T09:21:16.547-07:002009-09-06T09:21:16.547-07:00BHD,
A Canadian astronomy fan has a site which us...BHD,<br /><br />A Canadian astronomy fan has a site which uses cloud/weather maps from Canada's Met system to develop hourly forecasts over a 48-hour period. Here is the Port Twnsd site: <br /><br />http://cleardarksky.com/c/PrtTwnsdWAkey.html?1<br /><br />I have found it a very good tool; particularly for scheduling outside garden work. Early Friday morning, he had the SAT PM clear sky on the forecast. Early SAT, he had moved up the timing and stretched the duration.<br /><br />There are about 100 locations in WA State alone. 2500 & some in North America.<br /><br />All of Cliff's blog readers should be able to find many nearby sites. Start with the Map links in the upper left corner.<br /><br />GaryGary in Olympiahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00351698678637350106noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-21946338015182106262009-09-05T20:39:00.626-07:002009-09-05T20:39:00.626-07:00Very frustrated by weather reports that don't ...Very frustrated by weather reports that don't apply to the Quimper Peninsula up here in Port Townsend. Can you cite a decent source?bhdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14745845682132788731noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-57066220037330184032009-09-05T20:05:38.519-07:002009-09-05T20:05:38.519-07:00It was a heck of a lot warmer than it was predicte...It was a heck of a lot warmer than it was predicted to be in Bham. I left the house at 11:00 and it was already 66 degrees. In fact, as of 11:30 am, many were walking around in t-shirts at Boulevard Park. Windy as heck, but pleasant. <br /><br />Computer models are getting better, but don't count on it to get everything 100% right.arbucklehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06699984589817722772noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-75082772761009092009-09-05T14:35:12.766-07:002009-09-05T14:35:12.766-07:00The front passed Copalis Beach at 0745 marked by a...The front passed Copalis Beach at 0745 marked by a sharp upswing in barometric pressure (3 mb in an hour) and a wind gust of 27 kts. Wind shifted from the East to the South. Rain started about 0100 and was intermittant through the night(accululation 0.14 in) <br /><br />Lots of blue sky now (1430) and a brisk wind out of the south. (10 kts)<br /><br />Paul MiddentsPaulhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13742905742181959851noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-47880495868565147232009-09-05T11:37:45.952-07:002009-09-05T11:37:45.952-07:00i looked out my window and saw the rain on the oth...i looked out my window and saw the rain on the other side of i-5 east of chehalis and it never crossed i-5 like it normally would, it just stayed there, like there was some sort of pressure gradiant steering it away from here. Cliff, why is that?Diary of a cat householdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03740567152994415008noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-89972262894677464002009-09-05T11:26:43.966-07:002009-09-05T11:26:43.966-07:00"It would be far more honest to communicate t..."It would be far more honest to communicate the inherent uncertainties in weather prediction, providing ranges and probabilities of potential outcomes" <br /><br />Mass, Cliff. 2008 The Weather of the Pacific Northwest<br /><br />Thursdays post could have had some of those potential outcomes.Joshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08645629430659310315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-55935637727523842892009-09-05T11:24:45.523-07:002009-09-05T11:24:45.523-07:00We didn't get much rain up here in B'ham f...We didn't get much rain up here in B'ham from this morning's front; however, we have been getting some decent wind gusts. The 10:53am report from BLI showed gusts to 37 MPH. Not bad for early September.Bham_Guyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01472239482436641063noreply@blogger.com