tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.comments2024-03-18T22:50:29.792-07:00Cliff Mass Weather BlogCliff Mass Weather Bloghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13948649423540350788noreply@blogger.comBlogger52785125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-33404207688298657392024-03-18T21:11:43.266-07:002024-03-18T21:11:43.266-07:00Seems like the right thing to do is get AI to writ...Seems like the right thing to do is get AI to write my comment on Cliff's post. Here goes "Reply to an article about the Puget sound convergence zone by cliff mass on on the website of the Canadian Coast Guard. This is the same site that has the information about a possible Pugeta Sound Convergence Zone. I have no idea what the CGC has to do with this, but I'm going with the coast"Chris whttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02920356879285271990noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-25599817879174336632024-03-18T16:33:03.106-07:002024-03-18T16:33:03.106-07:00please don't use AI. But this is an interesti...please don't use AI. But this is an interesting exercise to read. aaaaahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08940937398513294855noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-65185948122545836142024-03-18T15:06:56.796-07:002024-03-18T15:06:56.796-07:00If I may, asking AI for an opinion, is misundersta...If I may, asking AI for an opinion, is misunderstanding the entire concept of AI. It's also pretty clear both AI apps use different algorithms and training sets. Heavyhemihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17178264842878827063noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-11171943362884700912024-03-18T14:20:07.680-07:002024-03-18T14:20:07.680-07:00The interesting development in AI is that some &qu...The interesting development in AI is that some "journalism" outfits are already using it, wholesale, to write their articles. https://futurism.com/buzzfeed-publishing-articles-by-ai<br /><br />Readers cannot tell the difference, which pretty much says it all. The MSM is two feet deep into the tar pits, buh byee. Eric Blairhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09376653214948517679noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-78931691336473590302024-03-18T12:56:09.770-07:002024-03-18T12:56:09.770-07:00Agree. It's obvious right off the bat. Plus, C...Agree. It's obvious right off the bat. Plus, Cliff's blogs have the occasional typo and these look letter perfect.Tom Ahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08123852453636098400noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-73542199936975711382024-03-18T10:45:33.946-07:002024-03-18T10:45:33.946-07:00Was it chatgpt who wrote the article? I find it in...Was it chatgpt who wrote the article? I find it intriguing that the first paragraph is saying that Gemini created the first example....:)Yonghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16999680492651827231noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-89209437447753008952024-03-18T10:33:47.419-07:002024-03-18T10:33:47.419-07:00Copilot: Write a five-stanza limerick on the weath...Copilot: Write a five-stanza limerick on the weather impacts of the Puget Sound Convergence Zone.<br /><br />Result:<br />In the land of mist and gray, Where Puget’s waters sway, A convergence zone forms, With tempests and storms, Seattle’s skies dance in disarray! 🌧️<br /><br />Winds from the west converge, Over Sound’s rippling surge, They clash and they fight, In a meteorological delight, Creating a weatherly dirge! 💨<br /><br />Rain showers, thunder, and snow, In this narrow band they flow, From Everett to Seattle’s north, A tempestuous journey forth, The PSCZ puts on quite a show! ❄️⚡<br /><br />South winds blow with might, North winds join the fight, And in this convergence dance, Clouds swirl and prance, Nature’s whimsy takes flight! ☁️<br /><br />So next time you see raindrops fall, Or hear thunder’s echoing call, Remember the Puget Sound’s play, Where weather meets in disarray, And the PSCZ reigns over all! 🌦️🌬️Chrishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05811630315874869150noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-50509384078062707522024-03-18T10:07:25.895-07:002024-03-18T10:07:25.895-07:00NOOOOO!! Don't let AI write your blogs!NOOOOO!! Don't let AI write your blogs!Anselhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13835758313287462921noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-67482124302840620662024-03-18T09:23:50.764-07:002024-03-18T09:23:50.764-07:00Mike of Snoqualmie: "Both are too florid. Too...Mike of Snoqualmie: "Both are too florid. Too wordy. Cliff never uses two words when one would do."<br /><br />It is possible both of the AI simulation programs include a double-word feedback mechanism which doesn't actually exist inside the Cliff Mass natural thinking/writing process. Betah Blocherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05830083338356921513noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-9427086822522584242024-03-18T07:44:59.661-07:002024-03-18T07:44:59.661-07:00But of course. 100% of scientists who agree with o...But of course. 100% of scientists who agree with our narrative agree that our narrative is factually accurate. Micahhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03700670088291613074noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-13950756160787418372024-03-18T06:13:30.053-07:002024-03-18T06:13:30.053-07:00Both are too florid. Too wordy. Cliff never uses t...Both are too florid. Too wordy. Cliff never uses two words when one would do.Mike of Snoqualmiehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08781853203731542904noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-76034811673482759742024-03-18T06:10:23.417-07:002024-03-18T06:10:23.417-07:00Great Blog Cliff! I will never forget back in Dece...Great Blog Cliff! I will never forget back in December of 2009 when within 14 hours the convergence zone put down 34" of snow just north of Arlington. It had formed between Port Townsend and Lake Cavanaugh and stalled out overnight, and our elevation here at home is near 350 feet, was a very cool event Keithhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00975976526421404962noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-31560050805393534462024-03-18T05:36:21.557-07:002024-03-18T05:36:21.557-07:00"....reflecting the scientific consensus....&..."....reflecting the scientific consensus...."Jonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16470022185130215060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-688043333239598462024-03-17T16:51:12.875-07:002024-03-17T16:51:12.875-07:00We better get on it, time is running out and fossi...We better get on it, time is running out and fossil fuels have done irreversible damage.Art Personhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13894413381677047376noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-61778262881880063992024-03-17T12:43:34.676-07:002024-03-17T12:43:34.676-07:00Yes John, all true. What makes headlines is some ...Yes John, all true. What makes headlines is some number that might be near, match, or exceed some "record" for the calendar date, sans context. Most "news worthy" temperatures don't last long. Our 67.1 high yesterday was two brief spikes, less than five minutes. Numbers 'in the records' that some statisticians (and news-folk) can lead to very wrong conclusions. Near-term weather forecasting models have improved tremendously, but I have serious doubts about some climate models; I doubt many of those are as "data rich" as they should be. That concern goes to 'number of locations' as well as the siting of those instruments (and calibration).GlacierBakehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14691372693124586046noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-90492115895579467802024-03-17T09:23:23.776-07:002024-03-17T09:23:23.776-07:00This comment has been removed by the author.John K.https://www.blogger.com/profile/03575682658318674003noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-10738542628593635612024-03-17T08:12:19.434-07:002024-03-17T08:12:19.434-07:00I find this topic timely. It's spring, and I ...I find this topic timely. It's spring, and I also garden. Before reading this new post this morning, while jotting down my typical "highs and lows" for the 24 hr period, out of sheer curiosity I took time to add-up the number of hours that the air temp was in the 60's, 50's, 40's and 30's here. Yesterday was pretty far from "a sixty degree day." The distribution was roughly 11.5 hrs in the 30's, 5 hrs in the 40's, 3.25 hrs in the 50's, and 4.25 hrs in the 60's. Pretty hard to call it "a 67 degree day." I enjoyed the bit of warmth, but it was pretty hard to call yesterday a heat-wave. The point I'm trying to make is that any day's "high" can be a very misleading statistic.GlacierBakehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14691372693124586046noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-63920685584754330872024-03-17T04:38:51.281-07:002024-03-17T04:38:51.281-07:00With the strong easterly flow, yesterday I saw som...With the strong easterly flow, yesterday I saw something very unusual.. a lenticular cloud over the west side of Mt. Rainier. Common for them to form east of the mountain, but very odd to see one on the west side.John K.https://www.blogger.com/profile/03575682658318674003noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-29996487649288576072024-03-15T23:18:59.562-07:002024-03-15T23:18:59.562-07:00As always, Cliff shows us the data...not the scari...As always, Cliff shows us the data...not the scarifying politics of weather/climate. We have a running joke in our house: "not enough snow, we need to raise taxes!" or "too much snow, flooding imminent, we need to raise taxes"! Sigh. Thank you Cliff.Craighttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01903911242039311917noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-8640548825689223402024-03-15T01:53:19.236-07:002024-03-15T01:53:19.236-07:00The recent snowfall will help but how much will de...The recent snowfall will help but how much will depend on how this snow comes off. If conditions are favorable, much of it will melt and go into the ground and into the reservoirs. However, under certain conditions, a considerable amount may just evaporate into the air (sublimate) and this upcoming dry, warm period may favor sublimation over melting. wxmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14675407341860378101noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-86909810625516137462024-03-14T21:59:27.437-07:002024-03-14T21:59:27.437-07:00Cliff, it's been great to see the snow pack in...Cliff, it's been great to see the snow pack increase- but things in the Yakima, while better than they were, are still headed for a water supply limited year. You've been citing the snowpack for the Upper Yakima , but our water supply comes from the entire Yakima watershed, also including the Naches and Lower Yakima. Current snow pack for the whole basin is 78%- but thanks to last years early melting of a decent snow pack, reservoirs were drawn down harder than average last year, and are currently at only 69% of average. Right now that puts us at about 70% water supply for our junior irrigation districts- not a full out crisis, but not a full water year, with resulting reductions in in-stream flow for fish and likely use of drought-relief wells by farmers. We could catch up to normal with late snow (crossing my fingers)- or if it goes like last year, we could loose ground and end up at as low as 50% for juniors (last year's above average reservoir carryover saved the day last year- we don't have that this year). Here's the graph of reservoir storage: https://www.usbr.gov/pn/hydromet/daily_grapha.html?list=yaksys%20afAlexhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13487577482997382945noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-85787303257898920762024-03-14T15:31:59.098-07:002024-03-14T15:31:59.098-07:00You need to click on "snow water equivalent i...You need to click on "snow water equivalent index" for Washington.<br />https://www.nrcs.usda.gov/programs-initiatives/sswsf-snow-survey-and-water-supply-forecasting-program/snowpack-andJerry Cangelosihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08596061531643309949noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-49898475075289940142024-03-14T15:29:14.852-07:002024-03-14T15:29:14.852-07:00Drainage for the Okanogan River and the Columbia a...Drainage for the Okanogan River and the Columbia are about mid 70%-to as high as 90% in BC. Don't quote me on this, but water for the westside doesn't rely much on drainage from Canada. At least I know not as much as Eastside and it's looking ok.Buddhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01725713184480575034noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-46768186827871339222024-03-14T14:54:30.028-07:002024-03-14T14:54:30.028-07:00For anyone recreating in the mountains this weeken...For anyone recreating in the mountains this weekend, please be cautious and aware if you are going into terrain with snow on a slope or traveling under such slopes. Be aware due to the rapid warm up (and lack of overnight refreeze) there is high likelihood of wet loose avalanches. In addition there are deep persistent slab from a weakly bonded layer from early February. A release could be potentially massive and very destructive and deadly. Check the daily Northwest avalanche center forecast it is issued at 6pm for the following 24hrs.<br />nwac.usGlaciersDontLieTheyRecedehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02918495804547355159noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-50224402515156872472024-03-14T14:33:24.758-07:002024-03-14T14:33:24.758-07:00Good news all around, but the important question i...Good news all around, but the important question is will the MSM report it that way, or will they as per usual look at the glass as being half empty? I think we all know the answer to that one. Eric Blairhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09376653214948517679noreply@blogger.com