tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post2018503745757724158..comments2024-03-28T23:07:35.632-07:00Comments on Cliff Mass Weather Blog: Snowy Sequim and Port Angeles; Major ColdCliff Mass Weather Bloghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13948649423540350788noreply@blogger.comBlogger11125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-22802860916881370132009-12-07T06:35:43.156-08:002009-12-07T06:35:43.156-08:00Hi Cliff,
Thanks for the great blog. Down here in...Hi Cliff, <br />Thanks for the great blog. Down here in the Gorge yesterday, we had 35+ mph east winds with a .06-.09 gradient from PDX the DLS and not much more east or west of that. I've never seen such strong winds through the central Gorge with so little gradient. (And let's just not talk about the 35-65mph we had on the mountain) Any chance you could talk a little about what drove yesterday's east winds? And please come down and give a talk sometime! Thank you!SnowGirlhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12749035156535762236noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-91338156766739861212009-12-06T08:05:51.945-08:002009-12-06T08:05:51.945-08:00Snowed some last night in Maple Valley right aroun...Snowed some last night in Maple Valley right around 6:30pm. Occasionally more than flurries here as I type this on Sunday morning. The streets look white and quite slippery. Looking forward to that sun later on so I can go and rescue the last remaining dahlias before they suffer too much from the cold. Love your blog!Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04267159494373473850noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-32753325816628104272009-12-06T00:16:56.528-08:002009-12-06T00:16:56.528-08:00Professor,
I caught your act at Elliott Bay Books....Professor,<br />I caught your act at Elliott Bay Books. Major fun, thank you. I already owned my own copy of your book, but had you autograph a new copy for my brother- we use your forecasts for hiking in the North Cascades.<br /><br />Here's my question: the cover of your new book: the words "Cliff Mass" are positioned perfectly on a cliff mass... that seems so much like your sense of humor... please confirm...~curious georgehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01985335506612031008noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-23979793417058813022009-12-05T20:35:38.729-08:002009-12-05T20:35:38.729-08:00It's snowing in Mukilteo! Hello first white s...It's snowing in Mukilteo! Hello first white stuff of the year. :)Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03051373286099086825noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-2234093656114724162009-12-05T19:25:39.938-08:002009-12-05T19:25:39.938-08:00It's 32F, clear and calm at the Washington coa...It's 32F, clear and calm at the Washington coast. nice for the clam dig at Mocrocks tonigh.DeAnnehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10133093744884542797noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-20683910565614069482009-12-05T19:07:22.369-08:002009-12-05T19:07:22.369-08:00JewelyaZ,
I think I can explain this. Probcast...JewelyaZ,<br /> I think I can explain this. Probcast is only as good as the models that drive it (probcast statistically postprocesses the numerical weather forecasts). It can fix things to some degree...but only if the problem is persistent and there is data. The models forcing probcast were all too cold. The most difficult situation for the models are cold, stable boundary layers like we get in winter. In contrast, heat waves where the atmosphere is well mixed are much easier. Probcast can not be beat by anything for max temps during warm periods...but cold periods are its achilles heal. Anyway, probcast is not perfect and it is useful to know when it does best. Still need people to watch these automated systems. Hope that helps....cliffCliff Mass Weather Bloghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13948649423540350788noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-46167410181548153952009-12-05T18:16:54.342-08:002009-12-05T18:16:54.342-08:00I am in Cle Elum tonight and it started snowing ab...I am in Cle Elum tonight and it started snowing about 1/2 hour ago! Welcome to the white stuff!RubySaysMontanahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16117278689473763769noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-37157724988846304202009-12-05T16:44:09.561-08:002009-12-05T16:44:09.561-08:00El Nino I thought doesn't hit till January on....El Nino I thought doesn't hit till January on. It least that is what we were saying when we were having all those rains. Is it convenient now to say it?Joshhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08645629430659310315noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-54220086649174312272009-12-05T13:53:11.085-08:002009-12-05T13:53:11.085-08:00I love this blog, Cliff. Bought your book when yo...I love this blog, Cliff. Bought your book when you spoke in Oly, love it, too. Thanks for the good work. Hope you never tire of the blog!!! I have one suggestion each for these wonderful works:<br />The book: In a subsequent edition, significantly enlarge the index. E.g., could not find "trough." Have been similarly stumped on other occasions.<br />The blog: I love the graphics. Take the pretty red and blue one in today's (Dec 5) blog: Often the lay weather enthusiast, such as I, can't find a)comprehensible names for what the graph represents ("absolute vorticity?" Couldn't find vorticity in your book's index, either) and b)comprehensible units represented by the pretty colors. On the graphic in question, all I see explaining the units is "10 to the minus 5 and g to the minus 1." I know the maps are prepared for meterological professionals, and your book for the lay person, and maybe the blog for those of us inbetween (I'm an elementary school science specialist). What would you suggest, short of meteorology courses at a local college, to better comprehend your graphics?<br />Thanks, Cliff, as I said, love your stuff!<br />Michael DempsterMichael Dempsterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05189703904171622581noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-78963310857015639112009-12-05T12:15:43.814-08:002009-12-05T12:15:43.814-08:00Cliff,
Why is Probcast so out of whack? Last night...Cliff,<br />Why is Probcast so out of whack? Last night, they called for 16, range 11-21. The actual low at our house was 28.4 and the low at the King 5 School Net station 0.8 miles away (Phantom Lake) was 29. Eight degrees from the highest Probcast called from seems like a BIG variance.<br /><br />They are calling for the high today to be 39, range 36-41. It's already 39 so I'm having a hard time believing that too.<br /><br />It seems like Probcast is awesome in warm weather and pretty good when we're in the 50s and 60s. But when it goes below freezing with weather conditions like these, it's often quite wrong. What a bummer... because it's a brilliant tool... and I hate to see it SO wrong that it's hard to believe its forecasts in general.<br /><br />Any insight you have would be welcome.JewelyaZhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09434569437851248356noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-31199884002294667982009-12-05T09:24:11.209-08:002009-12-05T09:24:11.209-08:00Hey Cliff,
I live on the east slopes. I think mo...Hey Cliff, <br /><br />I live on the east slopes. I think models are over estimating the amount of moisture to work with. I let you know how it turns out.smokejumperhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05358322512081660205noreply@blogger.com