tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post3225370196505627064..comments2024-03-18T17:39:59.285-07:00Comments on Cliff Mass Weather Blog: Strong Winds and an Atmospheric River Hit the NorthwestCliff Mass Weather Bloghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13948649423540350788noreply@blogger.comBlogger23125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-91207465122543531372018-11-28T11:31:30.116-08:002018-11-28T11:31:30.116-08:00A couple of record breaking rainfall days have rea...A couple of record breaking rainfall days have really knocked down your deficit for the rain year up in Seattle. Number was -3.15" on the 24th and is -0.54" through yesterday. <br /><br />Here in Oregon the rainfall totals have improved but we have been much drier leading up to the recent storm activity. Southern Willamette Valley is around 5" down on the rain year, Portland maybe half that. Recent rain totals (I measured 1.05" & .89" last two days) have lifted my spirits some.<br /><br />For what its worth the surfer dude on the Stormsurf site indicated the current MJO cycle is due to generate less activity for a bit picking up again around mid December. As I have been checking that site only for a couple of weeks I have no idea what his track record is like but its interesting seeing his walk through all the NOAA, etc. data. <br /><br />Incidentally (and consistent with the Stormsurf discussion) there sure does not seem to be much heating going on in the equatorial Nino index regions (https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/sst/anomaly/). California nonetheless is getting some decent rain.gnolanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09955373958978384312noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-71384657300241054152018-11-28T09:27:41.243-08:002018-11-28T09:27:41.243-08:00Sheep?Sheep?Tarnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06406353391441948702noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-61464053832648251162018-11-28T05:03:42.254-08:002018-11-28T05:03:42.254-08:00I had a lot of fun teaching 101 classes, enjoy!I had a lot of fun teaching 101 classes, enjoy!jimijrhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05575435707603812489noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-58944510487782002092018-11-28T00:33:51.749-08:002018-11-28T00:33:51.749-08:00As evidenced by a couple of earlier comments, What...As evidenced by a couple of earlier comments, Whatcom County is utterly diverse where weather (among other things, lol) is concerned. Quite often non-events in Bellingham are far more significant north and east. Bland weather south of Smith Road is the norm; head toward Baker and/or the border and it’s a different reality.<br /><br />~ Colleen Colleenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16635233372638773800noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-83465926026560875652018-11-27T23:47:35.167-08:002018-11-27T23:47:35.167-08:00The bridge is closing 10 PM - 4 AM every night for...The bridge is closing 10 PM - 4 AM every night for maintenance until Sunday.dglhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01263695427256087756noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-29779483775179101322018-11-27T21:37:37.463-08:002018-11-27T21:37:37.463-08:00Wow... if the hourly totals are right - and the ra...Wow... if the hourly totals are right - and the radar would look to be backing it up - Seatac just got deluged for 3 hours straight, and will easily set a record for precip for the 24 hrs.<br /><br />Oh but that's right, precip is supposed to fall in perfect daily and weekly average amounts in every location like it used to... said no honest scientist, ever.<br /><br />November. What a great month. As unpredictable as it gets.sunsnow12https://www.blogger.com/profile/16856025812008113046noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-51039445055691967002018-11-27T18:51:31.658-08:002018-11-27T18:51:31.658-08:00There have been some nice electrical storms rumbli...There have been some nice electrical storms rumbling through Vashon today. This was after a couple hours of sunshine around noontime. Still more to come maybe...Stickerbushhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11575654091845737830noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-80509861283094540742018-11-27T15:08:27.105-08:002018-11-27T15:08:27.105-08:00"in spite of this storm aren't we having ..."in spite of this storm aren't we having an unusually dry late fall..."<br /><br />It is absolutely impossible to stop the drought talk. Absolutely impossible. Every year, in some place in the state, precip can be below normal... but even if it is not remotely statistically significant - or has zero bearing on the environment or water supply - we still hear it as if it was a crisis, ad nauseum (KOMO did a piece a few weeks ago about how dry the ytd was in Seattle - and we were at 95% of normal).<br /><br />The Cascades and Olympics - where our water is stored - have been utterly hammered with precip this fall, I mean in some places off the charts. Any articles on that? Any articles about our reservoirs dumping water? No, instead the Seattle Times runs the headline a day ago: "A juicy pineapple express storm is hitting Washington, but it won't make up for dry November"<br /><br />Who would write that headline if they knew the truth? Or is there another reason for writing it that way?<br /><br />The drought forecasts, the scare-mongering, the misrepresentation of stats and data - all of it gets worse every fall, and you can set your watch to it now. It is 100% predictable. Who believes any of this anymore?sunsnow12https://www.blogger.com/profile/16856025812008113046noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-75972518185136538032018-11-27T13:21:09.114-08:002018-11-27T13:21:09.114-08:00So far here in Portland, below average Fall precip...So far here in Portland, below average Fall precipitation, this latest storm split apart, leaving the bulk to go into WA and the latter half into CA. Oh well, CA needs this more than we do (so far). Eric Blairhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09376653214948517679noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-80934084960332144552018-11-27T12:18:54.118-08:002018-11-27T12:18:54.118-08:00Hi Cliff! Thank you for your excellent predictions...Hi Cliff! Thank you for your excellent predictions and explanations. I wonder if you could tell me why our storms don't have names? Some have been tied to the day they happened like the Columbus Day storm but they don't get names like the hurricanes and typhoons etc. Is it because they aren't big enough or is it because there is a succession of hurricanes/typhoons and they need to be differentiated? I hope you come to Friday Harbor again soon! Shelle CropperShellehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02007390124886765750noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-42453721756942526762018-11-27T08:23:09.567-08:002018-11-27T08:23:09.567-08:00Frequently, the Admiralty inlet will get clipped b...Frequently, the Admiralty inlet will get clipped by the tail end of a post storm convergence zone.<br /><br />Did not notice the phenomenon on northern part of the Quimper Penninsula, with this storm??<br /><br />A windy but pronounced perfect rainshadow yesterday! The shadow looked to be shifted slightly east?. (Possibly convergence zone was shifted SE also?)<br /><br /><br />Organic Farmerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08694548750704036717noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-10889722312179113052018-11-27T08:13:09.912-08:002018-11-27T08:13:09.912-08:00Again, this was mostly a non-event in Bellingham a...Again, this was mostly a non-event in Bellingham as far as winds are concerned. The forecasted strong overnight winds associated with the cold front never really materialized. The strongest winds were earlier in the day and were associated with the warm front. Below is a link to the Bellingham airport weather station, which is a half mile north from where we live, and as you can see, sustained winds were very modest and gusts fairly intermittent, with nothing very significant. Since moving from Seattle 3 years ago, we have learned that gusts in the mid 50's at the airport really are not a big deal. The airport is very exposed and tends to experience more severe winds compared to the rest of Bellingham.<br /><br />I watched the TV weather folks make a huge deal of an occasional Bellingham Airport gust, which reflects their lack of meteorological expertise. They tend to cherry pick the worst and generalize it to everywhere.<br /><br />https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?wfo=sew&sid=KBLI&num=72MAC in Bellinghamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00951163853106956325noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-70769218047928941732018-11-26T22:59:55.322-08:002018-11-26T22:59:55.322-08:00Excellent forecast again, sir - we are getting HAM...Excellent forecast again, sir - we are getting HAMMERED in the mountains, near Mt. Baker. This event began at about 1:25 am, and as of this moment (just over 20 hours) I've recorded 3.48" and the UW radar indicates more "incoming." The USGS river gage (12205000) is breaking records again - not the first time this month. When it hasn't rained it's been wintry cold.<br /><br />There may be an "unusually dry late fall" happening somewhere..somewhere else. (Cheers, weather watchers)GlacierBakehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14691372693124586046noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-74309718198566799482018-11-26T18:45:34.712-08:002018-11-26T18:45:34.712-08:00When we lived on Lummi Island, we saw and took pan...When we lived on Lummi Island, we saw and took panorama pics inside rain shadows all the time, it was sweet! Now in Ferndale, we get blasted by Fraser River cold flows in the winter, and we are still getting slapped aroun by winds now... Thatsaabguyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03040349769430770448noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-51854060676472236652018-11-26T18:12:40.190-08:002018-11-26T18:12:40.190-08:00in spite of this storm aren't we having an unu...in spite of this storm aren't we having an unusually dry late fall? Our power here in Edmonds has yet to go out this season. Something wrong.Ludwigs60https://www.blogger.com/profile/13474476767824619067noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-40615764426309254742018-11-26T17:58:20.698-08:002018-11-26T17:58:20.698-08:00http://www.anonews.co/mini-ice-age-could-really-ha...http://www.anonews.co/mini-ice-age-could-really-happen-nasa-scientist-warns-record-cold-could-result-from-unusual-solar-activity/Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04944005906715895998noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-68320050510275988512018-11-26T17:47:57.400-08:002018-11-26T17:47:57.400-08:00Yep, hardly a drop in Anacortes today.Yep, hardly a drop in Anacortes today.eprmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12157800577391712151noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-65490429274037408442018-11-26T17:35:56.846-08:002018-11-26T17:35:56.846-08:00A year ago, we escaped Seattle for Klickitat Count...A year ago, we escaped Seattle for Klickitat County, which is a much saner and cheaper place to live. We look out at Mt. Adams, about 25 bird miles away. Closer than that, and lower than that, are the Monte Cristo mountains. Word is that snow in the valleys follows snow on the Monte Cristos by two weeks.<br /><br />About the middle of last week, we saw the first fresh snow on the Monte Cristos. The two-week rule worked like a charm last year, and wouldn't you know it, the most recent forecast calls for snow this coming Sunday. We shall see.Placeholderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02967627809480888708noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-19552872483909400762018-11-26T17:25:40.422-08:002018-11-26T17:25:40.422-08:00King tide this AM as well! I guess Tuesday AM wil...King tide this AM as well! I guess Tuesday AM will be even higher what with lo pressure.<br /><br />Some of us went to the Kukutali Preserve near LaConner this AM - the tombolo from the mainland to Kiket Island was lowered this summer and a channel cut even lower on the west end of the tombolo. Boy the water was rushing through from the south and carrying quite a lot of small wood through. Moving some big stuff around well too. Going to be some big changes in that beach and piles of driftwood this winter!RGhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02017190779860810318noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-14465755208256742322018-11-26T16:15:14.160-08:002018-11-26T16:15:14.160-08:0051 MPH 1.5 miles SW of KBLI at 12:54PM51 MPH 1.5 miles SW of KBLI at 12:54PMFriendhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16113544345441368032noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-22289529650847753902018-11-26T12:06:36.010-08:002018-11-26T12:06:36.010-08:00Dr. Mass,
I see the "S" word has crept ...Dr. Mass,<br /><br />I see the "S" word has crept into the forecast. Too soon?MBeebehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06989291623192829581noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-48355437712407343952018-11-26T11:34:44.416-08:002018-11-26T11:34:44.416-08:00What are the chances that the Hood Canal Bridge wi...What are the chances that the Hood Canal Bridge will close this evening?Stephen Nhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15821480934895714272noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-14170866100215451612018-11-26T11:05:28.948-08:002018-11-26T11:05:28.948-08:00Agree that the NE Olympics rainshadow has been epi...Agree that the NE Olympics rainshadow has been epic during this storm.<br /><br />Rainfall on Sunday at my house in Sequim: 0.0"<br />Rainful Monday: 0.01 so far. <br /><br />No real wind. Broken clouds. Sunshine part of yesterday. See some holes now that might open up. Perfect SW storm to maximize the shadow. Winds are going to have to shift more westerly to drive any moisture down the Strait to us and flatten out the pressure gradient. <br /><br />Heck, even my ceanothus bushes are flowering a brilliant blue. Supposed to only do that in June, but they are confused. They think this is late Spring. Weird. <br /><br />I should be hoping for rain as we are kind of dry, but I'm not that crazy in late November. <br /><br />Johnamarhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17737399978789523366noreply@blogger.com