tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post6091647027839419793..comments2024-03-28T23:07:35.632-07:00Comments on Cliff Mass Weather Blog: ModelsCliff Mass Weather Bloghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13948649423540350788noreply@blogger.comBlogger17125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-64034133781706262242010-12-18T09:02:23.462-08:002010-12-18T09:02:23.462-08:00Seems the models got last nights wind storm wrong....Seems the models got last nights wind storm wrong. If I understand, it was to be a traditional pass driven wind event, with pressure looking to balance between eastern/western WA, where the lowlands are not impacted. So, power out in Federal Way makes for a forecast miss as I remember the forecast zone to be east county areas, N. Bend, Enumclaw. What happened?kosmohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09546113848218616191noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-24626334011310405662010-12-18T06:23:13.864-08:002010-12-18T06:23:13.864-08:00Cliff--I use Sailflow and it has a couple of other...Cliff--I use Sailflow and it has a couple of other models for wind speeds. They are CMC and WRAMS, plus NAM and GFS and something they call default. The predictions are always wildly divergent and in my simple view of things, I always wonder which one is the most reliable. Any suggestions?Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17942899231001744645noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-37374554374182629292010-12-17T22:39:41.526-08:002010-12-17T22:39:41.526-08:00Good info. Thanks. I think areas over 9000 feet ou...Good info. Thanks. I think areas over 9000 feet out west will see close to 15 feet of snow by Monday. To find out more on my thoughts you can check out my website...http://www.corymottice.comAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-52380611799846692522010-12-17T21:43:23.812-08:002010-12-17T21:43:23.812-08:00Just wanted to tell you Cliff, I just relived the ...Just wanted to tell you Cliff, I just relived the 2 weeks of snow from two years ago on your blog. This is how bad I need a shift in weather patterns from "normal" December weather to Snomageddon 2010.Craig Armstronghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03006750415613555810noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-41562145643346726722010-12-17T17:30:04.646-08:002010-12-17T17:30:04.646-08:00Cliff,
Changing the subject. . . why is it that so...Cliff,<br />Changing the subject. . . why is it that sometimes the frost on my car is the whorled, patterned Jack Frost type, but other times (most typically) the frost is just a thin solid layer with no designs?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-25878325495337238592010-12-17T16:08:50.086-08:002010-12-17T16:08:50.086-08:00Hey Cliff, are we going to be able to see the conf...Hey Cliff, are we going to be able to see the confluence of the total lunar eclipse that is happening on the winter solstice for the first time in 400+ years this upcoming Tuesday? <br /><br />Mainly interested in Western WA… or should we make plans to head over the mountains?<br /><br />Can’t get much darker outside than that!<br /><br />http://www.space.com/spacewatch/holidays-total-lunar-eclipse-101207.htmlScherer Familyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01453659605103361832noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-36034557147068534582010-12-17T15:50:03.511-08:002010-12-17T15:50:03.511-08:00Back in the day, my Fortran instructor said she wo...Back in the day, my Fortran instructor said she worked for NASA on code for Apollo: Half a million lines of Fortran. <br /><br />Someone else can compare the complexity.catman306https://www.blogger.com/profile/04670081770711560337noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-87165532092410736992010-12-17T14:42:39.762-08:002010-12-17T14:42:39.762-08:00Cliff,
What do the models say about Monday night ...Cliff,<br /><br />What do the models say about Monday night - in terms of viewing the total lunar eclipse?<br /><br /><br />KWKenna Wickmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02802821050975830973noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-33610164132187596462010-12-17T08:08:56.224-08:002010-12-17T08:08:56.224-08:00Alright, how about this: You guys get paid to for...Alright, how about this: You guys get paid to forecast weather from a nice warm office, whereas Jim Foreman has to be right in the Middle of it! <br /><br />Yes, I know, the obvious comeback is "but we don't get the nice Jacket."jjhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06973659841287055331noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-24337775307100652472010-12-17T07:31:32.469-08:002010-12-17T07:31:32.469-08:00Are the models self-impoving based on verification...Are the models self-impoving based on verification of their predictions?Puffinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18098194506781307270noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-32684408604720101482010-12-17T07:15:15.540-08:002010-12-17T07:15:15.540-08:00Meteorologists do it with models.Meteorologists do it with models.Peter Willinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18084162824840834153noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-65074721504454028772010-12-17T06:53:37.997-08:002010-12-17T06:53:37.997-08:00Curious about how much faster model "runs&quo...Curious about how much faster model "runs" are accomplished now compared to the past vs number of data points processed, etc. Also, who physically runs these? Public, private or cloud services (an ultimate pun)...?Robert Okriehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10488749898342140035noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-35589659982183585892010-12-16T22:59:43.743-08:002010-12-16T22:59:43.743-08:00Ah while we are talking about models, have you or ...Ah while we are talking about models, have you or anyone you know substituted real time snow cover data for the monthly average that wrf uses as standard? <br /><br />How about using higher than 30s resolution topography. I noted the other day that in the 30s data, Mt. Baker is less than 7000ft high, compared to its actual 10,800.<br /><br />TJwxtoflyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02858466304755744200noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-69594900305988138602010-12-16T22:57:01.676-08:002010-12-16T22:57:01.676-08:00Are the 1.3km wrf results plotted and available? I...Are the 1.3km wrf results plotted and available? If not, are the wrfout_d02_yyyy-mm-dd_hh:00:00 output files accessible to plot from?<br /><br />see: http://home.comcast.net/~wxtofly/windgrams.html<br /><br />for what I'd like to be able to use them for instead of running wrf myself.wxtoflyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02858466304755744200noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-80082995520345006562010-12-16T22:56:25.191-08:002010-12-16T22:56:25.191-08:00Are the 1.3km wrf results plotted and available? I...Are the 1.3km wrf results plotted and available? If not, are the wrfout_d02_yyyy-mm-dd_hh:00:00 output files accessible to plot from?<br /><br />see: http://home.comcast.net/~wxtofly/windgrams.html<br /><br />for what I'd like to be able to use them for instead of running wrf myself.wxtoflyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02858466304755744200noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-46153517073667844132010-12-16T21:21:38.207-08:002010-12-16T21:21:38.207-08:00I just wanna give a shout out tonight to the TCWB ...I just wanna give a shout out tonight to the TCWB MM5, aka ole reliable :P<br /><br />Now more serious, I dunno, maybe its used, but it looks like UW doesn't incorporate the EURO in any computations. Is there some type of copyright or licensing trademark on it?<br /><br />I get the sense too that the NWS and in the discussions, its like, "we're going to trust what our models show, however the EURO shows this." Always as a double check, confirmation thing, lol.Buddyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13773392812050013355noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-14570714574172744092010-12-16T21:11:10.135-08:002010-12-16T21:11:10.135-08:00Cliff, your discussion of modeling and the persona...Cliff, your discussion of modeling and the personalities of the various models is appreciated. My question is, given the wide diversity of our regional geography and topography, when does the reliance on models transition to the inclusion of current meteorological data? When do you use the "old fashioned" readings. Being a longtime resident of the area when does your "gut" get your attention? Does this ever happen anymore? Thanks.Michael DeMarcohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04320634165404283841noreply@blogger.com