tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post6789076554677995683..comments2024-03-28T03:08:44.068-07:00Comments on Cliff Mass Weather Blog: Will This Summer Be Warmer Than Normal?Cliff Mass Weather Bloghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13948649423540350788noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-4955740607330004812015-04-06T11:40:05.545-07:002015-04-06T11:40:05.545-07:00Bring it on! I have a higher melt point than most...Bring it on! I have a higher melt point than most folks in Western Washington! I thrive between 75 and 90 degrees F. GizaCathttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03041406206124941238noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-25982990598995395732015-03-31T16:38:06.870-07:002015-03-31T16:38:06.870-07:00For the moment, we seem to be back to normal.
Cli...For the moment, we seem to be back to normal.<br /><br />Cliff, I have notice that for several years at least, there seems to be a cold spell every year about the first week of April. This year seems to be following suit... Do your data bear this out? Or am I looking too short-term?Anselhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13835758313287462921noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-12591461963162710072015-03-30T17:05:04.654-07:002015-03-30T17:05:04.654-07:00Dear Dr Mass,
Why/how do you predict higher summ...Dear Dr Mass, <br /><br />Why/how do you predict higher summer humidity in your conclusion above? Does it have something to do with the air coming across the warmer water?<br /><br />Thanks for your insightful musings.<br /><br />LizLizhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16294444181483658941noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-75737477007799876042015-03-30T14:27:22.758-07:002015-03-30T14:27:22.758-07:00Is there any way to generally estimate what effect...Is there any way to generally estimate what effect the warm water (and/or resulting air-temp modification) may have on high pressure systems, ridges, or fronts during our summer months? Or are these synoptic-scale phenomena too dominated by upper-atmospheric movements to be disrupted by surface-level temperature modification?Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15858392554396067931noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-40011174078008503032015-03-30T14:26:54.715-07:002015-03-30T14:26:54.715-07:00Hi Cliff,
I agree with your assessment based on yo...Hi Cliff,<br />I agree with your assessment based on your data, however, I would caution you in regards to the SEA temperature data. As you show in your graph, the mean temperature deviation is around 2 degrees C. I am within two NW miles of the airport at pretty much the same elevation. My thermometers read 3 to 5 degrees cooler on a regular basis, including Max temps. As you know, I have been a professional weather observer for nearly 4 decades, so I know what I am talking about. There is a problem with SEA's ASOS temps. I believe it has to do with proximity to the runways and heat island effect. That being said, your 2 degrees C deviation falls within that error margin. Just some food for thought my friend. Take Care, Randy CryerRandy Cryerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11911229038093552845noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-6757136698502405752015-03-29T10:32:30.042-07:002015-03-29T10:32:30.042-07:00Sorry to double up on your blog, but I noted this ...Sorry to double up on your blog, but I noted this morning, and neglected to mention in previous post, that the NWS forecast for the week has temperatures cooling and the snow level falling to 2,500 to 3,000 feet. I like that while temperatures on average are warmer, and the prediction for the summer as well, the atmosphere is stockpiling a little more snow in the mountains for water in our reservoirs, which, apparently, we'll need.<br />jfmJohn McBridehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09503331313775640577noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-22878258381718533572015-03-29T10:28:58.971-07:002015-03-29T10:28:58.971-07:00Cliff, even though the increase in average tempera...Cliff, even though the increase in average temperature tracking, more or less, with sea temperature seems rational, nevertheless, seeing the data support that mental construct is a nice dovetail of science and street guy thinking.<br /><br />ThanksJohn McBridehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09503331313775640577noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-15403249938467424642015-03-29T10:18:23.806-07:002015-03-29T10:18:23.806-07:00Is there a URL for the ensemble seasonal forecast?...Is there a URL for the ensemble seasonal forecast? Sorry if this is a duplicate comment...greg, freestylehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09834523396172023340noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7478606652950905956.post-50315400458119561572015-03-29T09:13:07.445-07:002015-03-29T09:13:07.445-07:00I notice the projected warming along the equator a...I notice the projected warming along the equator all the way to South America, typical of an El Niño year, which this is projected to be, but I don't see any evidence of it yet in the Pacific sea surface temperature map above it. I'll be watching to see if it actually happens . . .Michael Riordanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03135613300005502938noreply@blogger.com