This morning, Brad Colman, Meteorologist in Charge of the National Weather Service Seattle office, kindly sent me this image at 7:17 AM (they are getting the radar in real-time on many days):
You can see a strong front offshore, stretching to beyond the Oregon border (yellow and red are heavy rain). Here is an image two hours later (Courtesy of Kirby Cook, Science and Operations Officer, NWS, Seattle):
Here is the image from the Camano Island radar:
It can't see the front beyond the entrance to the Strait of Juan de Fuca...the parts that will hit Seattle and south--because of blockage of the Olympic and distance. But the new radar shows clearly the strength of the front extending out over the ocean...marvelous.
Or how about the Portland radar? If you believed it, you would think that there were only a few sprinkles out there.
The winds are really picking up now, with some places getting sustained winds over 20 kts. Here is the latest ferry weather winds. Sustained 25 knots in the central Sound--and gusts would be higher.
The Seattle profiler at Sand Point, which shows winds above the surface, clearly indicates the strong southerly winds that have pushed in aloft....a very different day. Temperatures aloft have declined by about 10C (18F).
The coastal radar, observations on ferries, the profiler...twenty years ago we didn't have any of them. And we didn't have high resolution numerical models. Progress is being made.
This event is associated with an unusually strong summer atmospheric river of moisture. Let me show you an image of the integrated moisture in the vertical:
See that yellow and red filament heading right towards us? That is the atmospheric river, and it has our name on it. Much of the region should see significant rain, particularly those on the SW sides of regional terrain. Take a look at the 24-h total rainfall predicted by the UW WRF modeling systems for the 24 hours ending 5 AM Tuesday. 1-2 inches on the windward slopes and 2-5 inches on the SW side of Vancouver Island. This is heavy stuff for August.