As predicted earlier today, this afternoon has been generally dry over most of the state.
Also, as per the HRRR and UW WRF modeling systems, heavy precipitation has exploded in northern Oregon this afternoon and is moving towards Washington.
Here is the latest radar (3:54 PM)...you can see the strong echoes, with reds indicating torrential rain and hail.
What I am trying to expose you to is state-of-the-art forecasting in
which information is frequently updated using modern rapid-update
modeling systems. So what does the NOAA HRRR system indicate for the next 12 hours?
At 6 PM, the heavy line of showers is crossing the border.
This is not an end of the world event. The ground is dry and can soak a lot up. The rivers are low and can handle the precipitation. But it is educational to see how far weather prediction has come and the great discrepancy between what meteorologists know and what many media outlets provide.
Announcement: My Public Lecture Series on NW Weather
I am giving a five-lecture evening short course: "Reading the Northwest Sky: Understanding Our Weather and Climate"
October 1, October 22, November 5, November 26, December 3
Kane Hall: University of Washington
Co-Presented by University of Washington Alumni Association and Seattle Public Lectures.
If anyone is interested, more information here.