The worst is over now and lightning has ceased over the region....but precipitation is not over as bands of light to moderate rain circle around the low center position over central Washington.
First, the latest (7:34 AM) radar images shows modest precipitation bands over western Washington, with the heaviest amounts over the sodden SW portion of the state. Actually dry in Seattle and in much of eastern WA.
The 24-h precipitation totals for SW Washington are impressive (see figure) with Lewis and Thurston counties getting hard hit. An amazing 8.46 inches at the Kosmos RAWS site. But plenty of locations got 3-5 inches. The forecast models were right on target.
Seattle Rainwatch also documented the storm over central Puget Sound, with 1-2 inches over the city and far higher amounts south of Tacoma. Olympia and eastward got 3-5 inches.
Showers will continue today, but nothing like yesterday and Saturday will see an improving trend. Sunday onward should see the return of sun and warmth as high pressure builds over the eastern Pacific.
This event was an extraordinary success for weather modeling technology and particularly for the NOAA High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) system, which provided extraordinarily useful 0-15 hr predictions. A frustration for many of us is that HRRR is not operational or always available because of lack of computer power in the National Weather Service. Hopefully, when the big new computer becomes available in a year things will change.
Amazing picture last night from Alki, looking back at Seattle. Courtesy of Rod Hoekstra
Announcement: My Public Lecture Series on NW Weather
I am giving a five-lecture evening short course: "Reading the Northwest Sky: Understanding Our Weather and Climate"
October 1, October 22, November 5, November 26, December 3
Kane Hall: University of Washington
Co-Presented by University of Washington Alumni Association and Seattle Public Lectures.
If anyone is interested, more information here.
This blog discusses current weather, weather prediction, climate issues, and current events
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
An Intense Christmas Atmospheric River. No California Drought This Year
One of the most overused terms used by the media is "atmospheric river". Yes, even more hyped than "bomb cyclone." ...
-
Mother Nature seems to have forgotten about the current strong El Nino and the record warmth of the past month. Massive snow will fall over ...
-
The latest model forecasts are consistent: an unusually powerful storm with extreme low pressure will develop rapidly offshore on Monday a...
What time of day will the lectures be held at?
ReplyDeleteHi Cliff,
ReplyDeleteThanks for the Nowcasting and the rest of your work on this fascinating blog--it is truly a jewel of the web.
Our family had a question about this most recent storm--why so much lightening? If I understand the mechanics of lightening correctly, it happens when there are extreme updrafts or downdrafts of air, causing an accumulation of static electricity that lightening discharges.
If that was the case with this storm, then why didn't we see any of the usual things that go with thunderstorms--windy conditions and temperature changes? Or maybe we just slept through that part....
Thanks!
Thursday night I got to watch a great thunderstorm over Whidbey. I was en route to the Wooden Boat Festival in Port Townsend and I had anchored my sailboat between Foulweather Bluff and Point No Point. There was quite a lightning show between about 9 PM and 11:00 or so. Interestingly I did not see where the storm was centered and did not hear much thunder except for a tremondous BOOM following a flash of lightning over me later that night.
ReplyDeleteMy rainfall total on the Bothell- Mill creek line for Thursday and Friday combined was 1.88 inches.
Ansel