Saturday, May 16, 2020

Why are clouds afraid of Puget Sound and Lake Chelan?

During the spring it is not unusual to have sunny skies over Puget Sound, with a clear zone extending northward up the Strait of Georgia.  In contrast, away from the water, clouds reign.

The visible satellite image at 1:20 PM yesterday (Friday, May 15th) shows the story.  The lowest elevations are essentially clear.  Generally more cloudy even in eastern Washington...but look closely...there are some narrow clear zones there too.

So what is going on?  Why are the clouds avoiding Puget Sound?   And why are there no clouds immediately offshore?


Interestingly, whatever is going on was captured by our high-resolution weather forecast models.  The UW WRF model run at very high resolution (1.3 km spacing between the grid points) had a 21h cloud forecast that showed the effect.


Yesterday was a great day to see this effect:  We are now in a period with a very strong sun and the large scale winds were light.

The strong, mid-May sun heated the ground, causing the difference  in the temperatures in the vertical (the lapse rate) to increases, and the atmosphere started to convect  or mix in the vertical.  Just like your hot cereal pot when you turn on the burner.  And as the air rose, it cooled and eventually became saturated, producing clouds.

Certainly, there were lots of clouds in the mountains, as shown by the wonderful Crystal Mountain 360 degree cam at 1 PM Friday (see below).


In contrast, the Seattle Space Needle cam  at the same time shows clear skies over the lowlands and clouds toward to foothills of the Cascades.


So what is going on here?   It has to do with the local atmospheric circulations associated with the land-water contrasts (see breeze) and with the mountains (upslope flow on terrain).

During the day, the strong May sun warms the mountain slopes and land surface.  In contrast, there is far less heating of the water surface (which has a large heat capacity and allows some of solar radiation to warm below the surface).  As a result of the solar heating over land,  a sea breeze wind develops that is directed from water to land around Puget Sound and upslope flow begins on the mountain slopes (air tends to rise up mountain slopes....something all hikers know about!).   With air moving away from Puget Sound at low levels, air must sink over the Sound to takes its place, resulting in a three-dimensional air circulation shown below (as illustrated by the arrows).

Sinking air is the enemy of clouds, preventing their formation or dissipating any clouds that are around.  In contrast, there is lots of upward motion over and near the terrain or away from the water, which helps produce clouds.

Thus, we get a pattern of clear or nearly clear skies over and near the Sound (and  the Straits of Georgia and San Juan de Fuca) but plenty of clouds inland.   And little clouds over the ocean where the surface can't warm.

Although visually it looks similar, yesterday's pattern was not the result of a rainshadow, because the general flow was weak.  Rainshadows occur when air approaches a barrier and is sinks on the lee (away from the wind) side.

Similar effects, but on a smaller scale, occur over eastern Washington: clouds over ridges and terrain features, but clear skies in the valleys.  A good example of this is shown below for the region around Lake Chelan.



10 comments:

  1. We quite often see clouds form as fog down low over the water first, with clear sky over the land. Here, given a different circulation pattern at work, we see the opposite. Interesting! More interesting than corona virus politics, by far.

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    1. Same concept, but only played out at night when the inland surface will radiate faster than the water and create a mountain/land breeze. Though fog would require a super stable warm temperature cap that keeps the moisture near the surface.

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  2. Ah...the hot cereal pot on the burner...that explains the cloud cover above my stove...and I thought it was my cooking skills:)

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  3. So this is essentially the opposite of what happens when the narrow band of clouds form over the Puget Sound? (the phenomena that was covered a few months ago)

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  4. Great info sir!...I have lived here for all of my 73 years. and only now am I learning about this temperate, but mysterious climate that I enjoy so much...some things are beyond our control, so we just roll with the changes...that applies to our local weather happenings too!

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  5. Us glider pilots loved this past Friday!

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  6. Cliff,

    The more I learn about the concepts relative to the atmosphere, the more I like it! Having a good day today and appreciate your sharing insight with us.

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  7. Moses lake sits in a basin and I only measured 5.5" of rain last year on my pws. In the winter we get fog that hovers at about 300'

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  8. 'Always interesting; thank you.

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  9. Four of us were climbing the North Sister west of Mt. Baker when we heard the muffled sound. We questioned what it was after hearing numerous avalanches on Baker. We had no idea what caused the sound. On the way home we stopped at a tavern that has a great view of the Sister Range and had a beer. The TV was on and we watched the news reports. That summer I had to replace my driveline on my van due to the ash. Months later I saw a request for locations where the explosion had been heard. Someone was doing a study on how far the sound traveled. Never saw the summary.

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