This year is pretty typical: a relatively cool and moist June, followed by a transition to consistent warm/dry days in early July.
Weather perfection is ahead and my blog describes the shift from June Gloom to Summer Sun.
Check out the latest NWS National Blend of Models Forecast for Seattle (see below). After Tuesday, a steady climb into the lower 80s, with no rain and plenty of sun
But by Thursday, the trough has moved inland and the ridge is developing offshore. Not too strong (which would bring a heatwave) but just right.
And four days later the ridge is still there, extending northwest towards Alaska.
So you should have perfect weather for enjoying the fireworks, having a barbecue, or going on that long-planned hike. A good time for meteorologists to go on vacation.
In my podcast, I talk about fireworks...please be careful. We have enjoyed fewer wildfires than normal this year...let's keep it that way.
You can listen to the podcast below or through your favorite podcast server.
Hey Cliff, would love your analysis of the upcoming weekend heat. It's looking worse on the models.
ReplyDeleteUpcoming "heat"... We're not acclimated yet! I would love to see some analysis of what the bulk of actual daytime temperatures are compared to "highs" and "lows" alone. I've mentioned many times my observation that statistical 'highs' seem to misrepresent a day's "conditions." Example: A day with a 90 F high may have, in fact, been predominantly a "70-80 F" day with the "90 F" only occurring for a short period. Was that day "a ninety-degree day"? I think not, but people look at numbers like that and presume a day was "a scorcher" when that wasn't so. Just observing reality, here - to the best of my ability.
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