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October 23, 2009
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Tomorrow's Windstorm in Four Acts
Each atmospheric "play" is different and according to high-resolution forecast models, I can describe the four "acts" t...
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Mother Nature seems to have forgotten about the current strong El Nino and the record warmth of the past month. Massive snow will fall over ...
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The latest model forecasts are consistent: an unusually powerful storm with extreme low pressure will develop rapidly offshore on Monday a...
Darn right it`s wet outside! Just did a day hike up at Mt.Dickerman with a couple buddies from work and steadily rained the whole time during the hike. So a very rainy day here in the central sound for sure! Looks like it was breezy down here as well as I had a 15mph wind gust from the southwest earlier today. Rain total wise and as of 9:17pm, I have picked up 1.00" of rain for the day so far here atop Hollywood hill. Looks like we may be headed for a rather WET October by time this month is over with.
ReplyDeletewhat happened to the earlier NWS long range forecast of above normal temps and below normal precip?
ReplyDeleteAlways enjoy a good convergence zone. Quick look at tonights extended WRF-GFS run had a bombing 970mb low moving right through the central sound next week, haha. Hope thats discounted for now.
ReplyDeleteThat would be cool to have an early season wind storm and have it be as early as next week! :o)
ReplyDeleteMainstreeter : I am pretty sure that El Nino doesn't really start affecting our weather until around the beginning of January.
ReplyDeleteRobby, it was the 30-60 day product issued by the NWS last month. It showed a map of brown for the NW indicating above average temps and normal to below normal precip
ReplyDeleteI see the morning models still the possibility of windy weather next week. We`ll see.
ReplyDeleteAnyone else look at the extended GFS? It shows a deep low moving towards our coast and it getting down to 959mb and kind of just hanging out for a while until finally dragging south along the coast line. I know there is still a lot of time for the models to change, but this sure does look interesting.
ReplyDeleteYep, Robbyrob. As usual, I have been looking at the GFS models and it appears that we might get some BREEZY to WINDY conditions as a strong cold front looks to move through later next week. And looks like the strong winds look to be along and or just behind the cold front. So we`ll have to see what models do as time comes closer.
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ReplyDeleteThe forecast event is very strong--and would produce strong winds along the coast, in the Strait, and Georgia Strait....but it is too far out too get exited yet...particularly since it is connected with an extratropical transition event in the western Pacific...which reduces predictability greatly. If it still there on the Monday runs..then it will be serious...cliff
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