This blog discusses current weather, weather prediction, climate issues, and current events
November 24, 2009
The Thanksgiving Day Forecast
Thanksgiving is coming and with lots of people on the road starting tomorrow, so the forecast is important. Bottom line: a benign weather situation...but not entirely dry.
A front is now offshore and it will move slowly towards us during the day tomorrow, with rain reaching the western lowlands around dinner time (see graphics above). No big deal for us, but the rain will be heavy tomorrow on the western side of Vancouver Island. So travel should be fine for most of the day with no issues crossing the Cascades.
Thursday looks like a wet day as a warm front moves up the coast (graphics). This warm front is associated with low moving NEward to our south. It will be quite wet on the SW side of the Olympics and the Skokomish could flood (AGAIN!). The low will bring moderate to strong winds (30-40 mph) along the central Oregon Coast and will open up and weaken as it moves inland late Thursday.Behind the system the temperatures will cool and showers will continue on Friday...but mainly over the mountains. Snow level will come down and the snow level will hit the passes. So be ready for some white stuff if you crossing the mountains on Friday. Good day for shopping on Black Friday.
Right now it looks like we might have a big, big treat next week with a ridge from heaven....but we will wait to talk about that.
Special Lecture: I will be giving a noon-time weather lecture ("Is Rainfall Getting More Extreme?") and a book signing at Elliot Bay Books, December 2 at 12 PM. Downtown in Pioneer Square.
Address:
101 South Main Street
Seattle WA 98104
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
An Intense Christmas Atmospheric River. No California Drought This Year
One of the most overused terms used by the media is "atmospheric river". Yes, even more hyped than "bomb cyclone." ...
-
Mother Nature seems to have forgotten about the current strong El Nino and the record warmth of the past month. Massive snow will fall over ...
-
The latest model forecasts are consistent: an unusually powerful storm with extreme low pressure will develop rapidly offshore on Monday a...
Cliff,
ReplyDeleteHappy Thanksgiving to you and your family.
Thank you for providing this public service it has increased my appreciation of this unique area in which we dwell.
What's it look like for the Cascade passes on Sunday?
ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
ReplyDeleteMy mulching mower works much better if the leaves are dry, and cleaning the gutters is harder to ignore-gotta work off the turkey somehow. C'mon high pressure!
ReplyDeleteAfter a vigorously satisfying round of storms I shall welcome a "Ridge from Heaven" rake up the debris and finish laying the gardens to rest.
ReplyDeleteA dry ridge would be lovely at this point. But then will that bring fog? I'd rather have the weather we've been having instead of being in that split pea soup!
ReplyDeleteOh, goody! A ridge would be most useful for chimney-sweeping and other firewood related activities. That's great, I'll stay tuned... I love your blog!!!!!
ReplyDeleteSorry about your wet Thanksgiving down sound. Up here in the San Juans it was wet overnight, but has been dry all day, and clear much of the day after some morning fog.
ReplyDeleteWind started picking up at Blake Island (SW of Seattle) this afternoon, currently blowing constantly around 20 kts.
ReplyDeleteIt's been raining nonstop in Enumclaw, grrrr
ReplyDeletebeen raining nonstop in enumclaw, grrrr
ReplyDeletethe hazard assessment has a storm in the guld of alaska forcast for dec 4-6: will it concern us?
ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
ReplyDelete