May 02, 2026

There Is No Drought Emergency in Washington State

On April 8, Washington State declared a DROUGHT EMERGENCY for Washington State. 

 In fact, this is the fourth year in a row that the Washington State Department of Ecology has done so.

As described below, these drought emergency declarations are unwarranted and are contradictory to meteorological facts and the actual impacts.

Let me remind you about the definitions of emergency and drought.

An emergency must be sudden and unexpected, requiring immediate action to prevent imminent danger.  It is a crisis.   As I will prove below, this does not characterize what has happened in Washington this year or the past few years.


The term "drought"  means both MUCH drier than normal conditions and significant negative impacts of the dryness.


Half the years have below-normal precipitation.  Half the years have below-normal snowpack.  All these below-normal years are not drought years.

Let us consider the water situation this year.

The major reservoirs of our state are full or WAY above normal in water storage. Some examples"

Seattle:  much above normal.

Everett:  much above normal


The critically important Yakima River reservoir system:  FULL and much above normal.  


The Columbia River water levels are above normal, and predictions are for plenty of water for both irrigation and power. The Columbia is the most important source of irrigation water in eastern Washington.  It irrigates TEN TIMES the number of acres as the Yakima River. 


River levels in the state are all close to normal.


Precipitation over the State for the water year (October 1 to now)?

Above normal for most of the state,  and MUCH above normal in the mountains (that is why all the reservoirs are so full!)

Soil moisture?  Above normal!


Crop moisture?    Above normal in much of the state, nowhere below normal.

Current status of crops?    They are in excellent shape with extremely high yields for winter wheat. Apples look good as well


So with all this good water news, why is the Washington State Department of Ecology calling a drought emergency?

They claim it is because the state snowpack is below normal:  about half of average (see below).  This snowpack normally melts in May and June, helping to top off the reservoirs and support streamflow during the early to mid-summer.


Don't get me wrong.  It would be better if the snowpack were normal.  But there really is no water problem this summer with the current snowpack and certainly no drought.

First, 50% snowpack is not zero, and there will be substantial snowmelt water available during the next few months.   

Second, reservoir managers were very wise and used the above-normal precipitation of the past winter to fill all the reservoirs.  Better weather prediction supports this, since they can fill the reservoirs, knowing they would have time to partially drain them if a major storm approaches.

Third, and this is not advertised by the water fear mongers, Washington State gets much more precipitation (including snow water) than it needs, and much of the snowmelt moves down the rivers into the sea.

Fourth, Washington State agriculture can do quite well with below normal precipitation.   This is true of the Yakima basin farmers when they don't get their full allotment.  

What happened during the 2025 Drought Emergency?

The Washington State Department of Ecology is undermining its credibility with these inflammatory and unscientific drought emergencies.   

They would be wise to read some classical literature, such as The Boy Who Cried Wolf and Chicken Little (The Sky Is Falling).    One loses credibility when exaggerating threats.  Eventually, others don't take you seriously.


The Sky is Falling!


11 comments:

  1. State govt has a political flaw....declare an emergency to use its power regardless of need. I can think of Covid, but i'm guessing there are more examples of when this insane overreach happened in other cases.

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    1. I am sure this has something to do with funneling money to some political supporters. That kind of graft seems so normal these days. :-|

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  2. Other data also fail to prove drought; witness soil moisture being at or above normal (wish i could paste the charts)...good source is https:// www.weather.gov/ncrfc/LMI_Soil_Moisture

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  3. Here's to honesty; there's far too little of it. Thank you for publishing this. All so true!

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  4. Cliff, it is certainly fair to say that “half of years have below-normal (or at least below-median) snowpack”, and that “50% isn’t 0%”. But there have been very few snow years like this one. According to the Washington State Climate Office:

    “As of April 1, statewide snowpack was at 53% of median. This falls near the 5th percentile, meaning that our statewide snowpack is lower than 95% of years on record. Only two years since 1985 had lower snowpack than this year, including 2005 and 2015. Both of these years featured impactful droughts during the following growing season.”

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    1. Jerry...this is undoubtedly a low snowpack year but well timed rain mitigated the impacts. Furthermore, the snowpack record used only goes back to 1985 and does not include the low snowpack/warm years during the 1930s...cliff

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    2. "climate office" isn't an honest agency, only exists to find problems. They ignore this is 4th highest Yakima reservoirs level in 101 years, and fail to note how soil moisture and soil temperature are at median levels (these 2 are favorite past excuses to find a drought). And the state definition of 75% or lower used to matter, but in 2020 they modified it so that "a prediction of levels lower than 75%" is also sufficient to declare a drought. so really no connection to data.

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  5. I call this the Jay Inslee hangover. Chicken Little environmentalism. BTW, didn't he move to Idaho?

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  6. I watch PNW Weather watch as he shows the daily models and such. But the constant hypo-panic about snow water equivalent and drought is so tiresome. Same thing every year. Thanks for these blogs, Cliff. Wish more folks listened to you.

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  7. I too login to PNW Weather Watch for the daily models and agree with Tom M. Thank you Cliff for giving us facts. Your continual informed and well documented explanations are highly appreciated.

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  8. Thanks for the information and for debunking a false narrative! I'm sure the 7 states that rely on the Colorado River Basin and Corpus Christi, TX would gladly trade places with us.

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Please make sure your comments are civil. Name calling and personal attacks are not appropriate.

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