May 08, 2010

Mountain Convection and A Strange Whirlwind



During the past few days we have had marvelous, and sometimes impressive, convection over our mountains (as seen in the picture above from Dale Ireland's webcam). The mornings have started out clear or close to it and then by mid-morning puffy white cumulus clouds formed over the Olympics and Cascades. By early afternoon some have grown into towering cumulus congestus and finally into fully formed cumulonimbus with showers and even some lightning.

Dale Ireland has a wonderful high definition web cam aimed at the western Olympics and here is the daily animation for Friday (http://www.drdale.com/lapse/lapse100507.mov).

Take a look at the visible satellite mixture for Friday morning and then at 5 PM. It is not hard to see the building convection from space (35,000 km above the planet!). The convection on Friday was most intense over the western Cascade slopes and the cool down rush of air from the storms pushed westward towards the lowlands, spawning some modest convection at its leading edge.


So why did we see this convection? Convection is the result of vertical instability of the atmosphere-- under the right conditions, when air given a push upwards, it keeps on going for while. Buoyant plumes of air, warmer than their surroundings, move upwards to 10, 20, or even 30 thousand feet in some locations. The atmosphere was close but not quite unstable throughout the region, but over the mountains the instability could be released.

Why is that?

As mountains are heated by the sun, air moves up their slopes and converges near the mountain crests. The two upward air stream create a strong upward current, which can give air parcel enough of a kick upwards to make the air parcel lift enough to become saturated and for instability to be released (I am skipping the details here, but you get the idea...upward motions on the mountains helps cause cumulus to form).

Anyway, things will calm down tomorrow...a perfect Mother's Day..highs in the mid 60s.

And now the fun part of the blog.

A "whirlwind" hit Genesee Park in Seattle this afternoon destroying a tent at a bicycle swap meet and sending a collection of papers into the sky! King TV was so impressed that is started the 10 PM news with it (here is their coverage at 5 PM: http://www.king5.com/news/local/Whirlwind-blows-through-Seattle-park-93204524.html) However, Jim Guy of KING TV was careful not to call this incident a possible tornado, as some outlets implied.

This was not a tornado. And there were no clouds overhead. Sounds like a big, dust devil type circulation. Strong heating at the surface and cool air aloft helps create strong thermals, especially over a nice open field. Such thermals can develop some spin and considerable speed (I suspect most of you have seen dust devils at some time in your life). Anyway, I believe that is what happened. Not the land spout that some have claimed. Fun, but not dangerous.

PS: Here is a video of a dust devil. Warning! An individual in the video uses" colorful" language at the end.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UNttYX_USyM

May 06, 2010

Strange Ship Tracks and Good News for Mom

This time of the year we sometimes see strange, bizarre lines in the visible satellite pictures. Want to see for yourself? Below are two examples apparent over the weekend.

Pretty creepy! A signal from aliens? Meteorological versions of crop circles? Nope. Such lines are often apparent during the spring and early summer in low clouds over the Pacific. And we know what causes them....ships...and thus they are known as ship tracks.

It turns out that such lines are produced by ships powered by internal combustion engines, ships that eject particles into the atmosphere that help produce more cloud droplets in low clouds such as stratus and stratocumulus. But let me explain in more detail.

Nearly all cloud droplets form on little bits of dust, dirt, or some other type of particle. In the biz they are known as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN). Now the ocean environment is relatively clean and there are a limited supply of CCN. Small numbers of CCNs result in only a modest number of relatively big droplets.

But what happens when a big ship moves through, injecting a huge number of particles from its engine stacks? LOTS of CCN and instead of a small number of big droplets the same amount of water is shared among a large number of small droplets. Thus, the clouds are modified by the passage of the ship. It turns out that even with the same amount of total water, a large number of small droplets reflects considerably more of the sun's rays (visible light) than a smaller number of big droplets. So ironically, the gunk coming out of ship smokestacks make the clouds whiter!

Thus, as ships move through the relatively thin low level clouds there is a line of whiter clouds left behind...ship tracks! And these lines get distorted by the the winds. On some days you see lots of ship tracks, crossing each other and leaving lines like some kind of ethereal tic-tac-toe board. The U.S. Navy was concerned about these lines during the cold war period...the Russians could see where our ships of the line were located! However, nuclear ships leave no ship tracks, so the big nuclear carriers remained invisible. Interestingly, ship tracks help combat global warming (since they reflect the sun's rays better than regular clouds), but only to a small degree.

Finally, I have good news for Mom. The latest forecast model output indicates that our stormy, cold period is over for a while and that the weekend should be sunny, with highs in the 60s west of the Cascades, and near 70F in the Tri Cities. So you can take Mom for that spring walk at your local park or travel to mother's day brunch in comfort. But don't be tempted to plant your tomatoes yet!

Renewable Energy and the Period of Lowest Electricity Demand of the Year

We are now in the time of year with the lowest electricity demand in the Pacific Northwest, driven by our meteorology (see below). The major...