Will Weather Influence a Very Close National Election?

There is a large literature on how adverse weather can suppress voter turnout and make a difference in close elections.     

This is certainly a close presidential election. 

Although about half the U.S. electorate has already voted, could the weather today be a factor?

So let's look at the latest weather observations and find out!

The latest national radar map, which shows areas of precipitation,  indicates mainly dry conditions over many of the critical states (Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada).  Light rain over northern Michigan and parts of Wisconsin.

The 6-hour totals ending about 2 PM EST are consistent with the radar...nothing major that would impede voting.

What about temperatures?  The predicted high temperatures today should be mild along the eastern third of U.S.--so little impact.   

 The coldest temperatures in a swing state will be over northern Wisconsin, but those will only be in the 40s.  Really not much of concern.

The National Weather Service has a national weather warning map (below).  Really nothing of any significance for critical states.

In summary, the weather gods have decided not to get in the way of this election, so storms and severe weather will not be an excuse for the losing side.😋