July 26, 2022

Heat Wave Update

Today will be the warmest day of the heat wave event in the western interior, with cooling already occurring over some coastal areas.

Yesterday's highs (shown below) ranged from over 100F east of the Cascade crest, to near 100F in the Willamette Valley, to the mid to upper 80s around Puget Sound, and to the 60s over the southern Oregon Coast.   Warmer than normal over most of the region, but few records fell.


Today, the temperatures are warmer aloft...and, in fact, the temperature around 5000 ft at the radiosonde site at Quillayute (UIL), on the northern WA coast, was near record levels for the date--not all time records, daily records (see below).  (the dot shows today's temperature and the red line is the record for the date).


Today is warmer in some locations and cooler in others.  Below is the difference in temperature at noon compared to yesterday at the same time.   Warmer over Puget Sound, similar in the Willamette Valley, but cooler along the southern Washington and Oregon Coasts.


Why cooler along the coast?   Because clouds and cool air are moving up the coast, as seen in the recent satellite image.  This is forced by falling pressure in the interior.


The latest forecasts for Seattle indicate today as the warmest day, but the cooling will only be minor during the next few days.


The situation in eastern Washington can only be described as torrid.  Check out the situation at Pasco in the Tri-Cities.  Scary.  Highs running to 112F on Friday.


I have studied Northwest heat waves for decades, and this is a different animal from normal.   

Why different?   Because the warmth is associated with a broad high-pressure ridge of high pressure aloft that is only slowly weakening and moving eastward.  As a result, cool marine air will very slowly move into the interior of western Oregon and Washington over the next several days.

There really won't be a rapid, energetic marine push of cool Pacific air into the west.  And this lazy influx of cool air will allow eastern WA to stay warm into early next week.

The long-term forecast suggests sustained cooling next week.

6 comments:

  1. OK, we have high humidity- by NW standards- 62 degrees in Bothell. One of the three conditions necessary for thunderstorms to form. Any chance we will get the second one- rapid temperature decline with height- say, when the marine air comes in? Yet, no one is suggesting that this might happen. A cool-down T-storm late this week would be nice...

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  2. Pretty toasty but nothing out of this world...at least on the West side. But Cliff am I right to think that a 65 degree dew point is exceptionally high for Bellingham and the west side. This is according to what I see on Accuweather for Marietta-Alderwood as of 4:50 p.m.

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    Replies
    1. KBLI 270453Z temp 69, dewpoint 65, relative humidity 87%

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    2. KBLI 270453Z temp 69, dewpoint 65, relative humidity 87%

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  3. Cliff, will the humidity remain high for the duration of this heatwave or can we expect some moderation (I hope)?

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  4. Somewhat ironic Seattle Times Brief, Friday July 29, 2022, has a headline story that reads, "The heat wave is forcing Washington to recognize and confront the impacts of climate change," while, at the end of the Brief, the Today in history segment is about, "A scorching weeklong heat wave in 2009 across the Pacific Northwest peaks with then-record-high temperatures set around the region. Seattle reaches 103 degrees".

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