There will be no precipitation over Washington State during the Thanksgiving holiday.
None. Zippo. Nada.
Which is kind of surprising since this is the wettest time of the year for our region.
To show how unusual it is, here is the climatological probability of measurable precipitation at SeaTac Airport for each day of the year. The last three weeks of November are wetter than any other period, with roughly a 65% chance of rain on any day.
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But this year, there will be no rain--something predicted by virtually every weather modeling system.
For example, the European Center forecast model has nothing through Tuesday morning (see below).
Will rain come back? The latest model runs suggest the answer is yes, starting later next week.
In fact, the latest NOAA/Climate Prediction Center forecast for 8-14 days is for wetter than normal conditions over the West Coast.
So enjoy the dry weather....it won't last.
The Snoqualmie River has yet to exceed flood phase 1, less than 12,000-cfs. No flooding of the fields around Fall City. That usually happens every November. Current flow rate is less than 1,500 cfs.
ReplyDeleteAny guesses if we'll see return to normal precipitation north of the border into the BC interior later next week as well? We certainly need it. Ski resorts here have either delayed their openings or have opened minimal terrain on a skiff.
ReplyDeleteThe outlook map can be a bit deceiving for BC even if it looks to be green at the border.
Yikes, with clear skies it's been cold up here in Glacier, near Mt. Baker. Tonight (Thanksgiving night) it's 26.8 F at midnight, and still goin' down. Wouldn't mind having clouds to warm things up; it's been very nippy "since Fall fell" ...early here.
ReplyDeleteI'm just waiting for the inevitable panic - mongering to begin anew among the local MSM...oh wait, it's already started.
ReplyDeleteAmazing the change that occurs when the jet stream does something a little unexpected.
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